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Stoke City vs Middlesbrough Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · ChampionshipWed, 21 Jan 2026

Stoke City

DWWWL

Wed, 21 Jan 202621:00

1 : 2

Full time

Middlesbrough

WLWLL

Pre-match win probability

32.1%Stoke City28.2%Draw39.6%Middlesbrough

Our prediction

Home · Stoke City

Stoke City vs Middlesbrough listed tip from the board.

Odds2.9
Confidence39.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Stoke City 32.1%
  • Draw 28.2%
  • Middlesbrough 39.6%

Season statistics

Championship · highlighted side is stronger

Stoke CityMiddlesbrough

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.4% · 1.062.5% · 9.5
1.5 goals17.9% · 1.337% · 3.4
2.5 goals11.9% · 213.2% · 1.8
3.5 goals6.8% · 3.518.3% · 1.3

Both teams to score

Yes51.5%
No48.5%

Double chance

1X46.4%
X253.6%

Match result

Stoke City2.9
Draw3.3
Middlesbrough2.35

Both teams to score

Yes51.5% · 1.8
No48.5% · 1.91

1X

Chance46.4%
Odds1.57

X2

Chance53.6%
Odds1.36

Stoke City

Chance32.1%
Odds2.9

Draw

Chance28.2%
Odds3.3

Middlesbrough

Chance39.6%
Odds2.35

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 2.9

Stoke CityMiddlesbrough
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall45%55%

Stoke City vs Middlesbrough: prediction & preview

England · Championship · Wed, 21 Jan 2026

Stoke City meet Middlesbrough in the England, Championship on 21 January 2026 at 21:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Middlesbrough at 2.35. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Stoke City vs Middlesbrough FAQs

4 questions

What time is Stoke City vs Middlesbrough?

Kickoff is 21:00 on 21 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Stoke City vs Middlesbrough?

Middlesbrough is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.35. The margin-adjusted share is about 39.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2 and under 2.5 is 1.8.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Stoke City vs Middlesbrough prediction, H2H and stats