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Sturm Graz vs Marseille Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · UEFA Europa LeagueThu, 22 Oct 2026

Sturm Graz

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Thu, 22 Oct 202617:45

1 : 0

Full time

Marseille

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Pre-match win probability

30.6%Sturm Graz26.3%Draw43.1%Marseille

Our prediction

Home · Sturm Graz

Sturm Graz vs Marseille listed tip from the board.

Odds3.1
Confidence43.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Sturm Graz 30.6%
  • Draw 26.3%
  • Marseille 43.1%

Season statistics

UEFA Europa League · highlighted side is stronger

Sturm GrazMarseille

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.3% · 1.021.4% · 17
1.5 goals20.9% · 1.144.3% · 5.5
2.5 goals15.9% · 1.59.1% · 2.62
3.5 goals10.8% · 2.214.3% · 1.67

Both teams to score

Yes62.5%
No37.5%

Double chance

1X39%
X261%

Match result

Sturm Graz3.1
Draw3.6
Marseille2.2

Both teams to score

Yes62.5% · 1.5
No37.5% · 2.5

1X

Chance39%
Odds1.91

X2

Chance61%
Odds1.22

Sturm Graz

Chance30.6%
Odds3.1

Draw

Chance26.3%
Odds3.6

Marseille

Chance43.1%
Odds2.2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 3.1

Sturm GrazMarseille
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall42%58%

Sturm Graz vs Marseille: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Europa League · Thu, 22 Oct 2026

Sturm Graz meet Marseille in the World, UEFA Europa League on 22 October 2026 at 17:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Marseille at 2.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 43.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.5, about 63.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.5.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Sturm Graz vs Marseille FAQs

4 questions

What time is Sturm Graz vs Marseille?

Kickoff is 17:45 on 22 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Sturm Graz vs Marseille?

Marseille is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 43.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.5 and under 2.5 is 2.62.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Sturm Graz vs Marseille prediction, H2H and stats