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Sturt Lions vs Adelaide City Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Australia · South Australia NPLSat, 18 Apr 2026

Sturt Lions

Sat, 18 Apr 202606:30

1 : 0

Full time

Adelaide City

Pre-match win probability

25.4%Sturt Lions22.2%Draw52.3%Adelaide City

Our prediction

Adelaide City

Adelaide City is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.7
Confidence52.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Sturt Lions 25.4%
  • Draw 22.2%
  • Adelaide City 52.3%

Season statistics

South Australia NPL · highlighted side is stronger

Sturt LionsAdelaide City

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals0%1.2% · 26
1.5 goals27.9% · 1.14.7% · 6.5
2.5 goals23.1% · 1.339.5% · 3.25
3.5 goals16.8% · 1.8316.8% · 1.83

Both teams to score

Yes66.3%
No33.7%

Double chance

1X38.5%
X261.5%

Match result

Sturt Lions3.5
Draw4
Adelaide City1.7

Both teams to score

Yes66.3% · 1.4
No33.7% · 2.75

1X

Chance38.5%
Odds1.95

X2

Chance61.5%
Odds1.22

Sturt Lions

Chance25.4%
Odds3.5

Draw

Chance22.2%
Odds4

Adelaide City

Chance52.3%
Odds1.7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Adelaide City at 1.7

Sturt LionsAdelaide City
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall33%67%

Sturt Lions vs Adelaide City: prediction & preview

Australia · South Australia NPL · Sat, 18 Apr 2026

Sturt Lions meet Adelaide City in the Australia, South Australia NPL on 18 April 2026 at 06:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Adelaide City at 1.7. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 52.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.33, about 71% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.4.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Sturt Lions vs Adelaide City FAQs

4 questions

What time is Sturt Lions vs Adelaide City?

Kickoff is 06:30 on 18 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Sturt Lions vs Adelaide City?

Adelaide City is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.7. The margin-adjusted share is about 52.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.33 and under 2.5 is 3.25.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.4. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Sturt Lions vs Adelaide City prediction, H2H and stats