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Sturt Lions vs Adelaide United II Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Australia · South Australia NPLSat, 2 May 2026

Sturt Lions

Sat, 2 May 202606:30

2 : 3

Full time

Adelaide United II

Pre-match win probability

33%Sturt Lions23.5%Draw43.5%Adelaide United II

Our prediction

Adelaide United II

Adelaide United II is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.05
Confidence43.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Sturt Lions 33%
  • Draw 23.5%
  • Adelaide United II 43.5%

Season statistics

South Australia NPL · highlighted side is stronger

Sturt LionsAdelaide United II

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.1% · 1.011.9% · 12
1.5 goals21% · 1.113.9% · 6
2.5 goals17.1% · 1.367.8% · 3
3.5 goals12.2% · 1.9113% · 1.8

Both teams to score

Yes68.8%
No31.2%

Double chance

1X45.6%
X254.4%

Match result

Sturt Lions2.7
Draw3.8
Adelaide United II2.05

Both teams to score

Yes68.8% · 1.36
No31.2% · 3

1X

Chance45.6%
Odds1.62

X2

Chance54.4%
Odds1.36

Sturt Lions

Chance33%
Odds2.7

Draw

Chance23.5%
Odds3.8

Adelaide United II

Chance43.5%
Odds2.05

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Adelaide United II at 2.05

Sturt LionsAdelaide United II
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall43%57%

Sturt Lions vs Adelaide United II: prediction & preview

Australia · South Australia NPL · Sat, 2 May 2026

Sturt Lions meet Adelaide United II in the Australia, South Australia NPL on 2 May 2026 at 06:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Adelaide United II at 2.05. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 43.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.36, about 68.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.36.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Sturt Lions vs Adelaide United II FAQs

4 questions

What time is Sturt Lions vs Adelaide United II?

Kickoff is 06:30 on 2 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Sturt Lions vs Adelaide United II?

Adelaide United II is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.05. The margin-adjusted share is about 43.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.36 and under 2.5 is 3.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.36. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Sturt Lions vs Adelaide United II prediction, H2H and stats