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Sumqayıt vs Neftchi Baku Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Azerbaijan · Premyer LiqaSun, 16 Aug 2026

Sumqayıt

Sun, 16 Aug 202616:00

1 : 3

Full time

Neftchi Baku

Pre-match win probability

24.1%Sumqayıt28.3%Draw47.6%Neftchi Baku

Our prediction

Neftchi Baku

Neftchi Baku is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.9
Confidence47.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Sumqayıt 24.1%
  • Draw 28.3%
  • Neftchi Baku 47.6%

Season statistics

Premyer Liqa · highlighted side is stronger

SumqayıtNeftchi Baku

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.2% · 1.062.9% · 8
1.5 goals18.1% · 1.36.9% · 3.4
2.5 goals11.8% · 213.1% · 1.8
3.5 goals6.9% · 3.418.1% · 1.3

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X39.6%
X260.4%

Match result

Sumqayıt3.75
Draw3.2
Neftchi Baku1.9

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance39.6%
Odds1.8

X2

Chance60.4%
Odds1.18

Sumqayıt

Chance24.1%
Odds3.75

Draw

Chance28.3%
Odds3.2

Neftchi Baku

Chance47.6%
Odds1.9

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Neftchi Baku at 1.9

SumqayıtNeftchi Baku
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall34%66%

Sumqayıt vs Neftchi Baku: prediction & preview

Azerbaijan · Premyer Liqa · Sun, 16 Aug 2026

Sumqayıt meet Neftchi Baku in the Azerbaijan, Premyer Liqa on 16 August 2026 at 16:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Neftchi Baku at 1.9. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 47.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Sumqayıt vs Neftchi Baku FAQs

4 questions

What time is Sumqayıt vs Neftchi Baku?

Kickoff is 16:00 on 16 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Sumqayıt vs Neftchi Baku?

Neftchi Baku is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.9. The margin-adjusted share is about 47.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2 and under 2.5 is 1.8.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Sumqayıt vs Neftchi Baku prediction, H2H and stats