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Super Nova vs Tukums Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Latvia · VirsligaMon, 11 May 2026

Super Nova

LWLLL

Mon, 11 May 202618:00

1 : 1

Full time

Tukums

LDLLD

Pre-match win probability

31%Super Nova25.5%Draw43.5%Tukums

Our prediction

Tukums

Tukums is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.05
Confidence43.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Super Nova 31%
  • Draw 25.5%
  • Tukums 43.5%

Season statistics

Virsliga · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Super NovaTukums
Goals scored (avg)
0.60.6
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.31.7

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Super Nova3W 2D 5L in last 10
  • 25 OctSuper Nova0 – 3Rīgas FSL
  • 18 OctRiga2 – 1Super NovaL
  • 15 OctRīgas FS4 – 0Super NovaL
  • 10 OctSuper Nova2 – 1GrobiņaW
  • 20 SeptOgre United1 – 0Super NovaL
Tukums2W 2D 6L in last 10
  • 24 OctFK Liepaja0 – 0TukumsD
  • 19 OctRīgas FS2 – 0TukumsL
  • 10 OctTukums0 – 2RigaL
  • 20 SeptTukums1 – 1GrobiņaD
  • 10 SeptSuper Nova1 – 0TukumsL
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.6% · 1.042.6% · 9
1.5 goals18.8% · 1.256.3% · 3.75
2.5 goals13% · 1.811.7% · 2
3.5 goals7.8% · 317.2% · 1.36

Both teams to score

Yes53.6%
No46.4%

Double chance

1X45.4%
X254.6%

Match result

Super Nova2.88
Draw3.5
Tukums2.05

Both teams to score

Yes53.6% · 1.73
No46.4% · 2

1X

Chance45.4%
Odds1.6

X2

Chance54.6%
Odds1.33

Super Nova

Chance31%
Odds2.88

Draw

Chance25.5%
Odds3.5

Tukums

Chance43.5%
Odds2.05

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Tukums at 2.05

Super NovaTukums
Recent form58%42%
Attack50%50%
Defence57%43%
Goals model50%50%
Overall42%58%

Trends

Trend · Virsliga

Super Nova scored 0.6 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Virsliga

Super Nova conceded 1.3 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Virsliga

Failed to score in 5 of those 10.

Trend · Virsliga

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

Super Nova vs Tukums: prediction & preview

Latvia · Virsliga · Mon, 11 May 2026

Super Nova meet Tukums in the Latvia, Virsliga on 11 May 2026 at 18:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Tukums at 2.05. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 43.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Super Nova vs Tukums FAQs

4 questions

What time is Super Nova vs Tukums?

Kickoff is 18:00 on 11 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Super Nova vs Tukums?

Tukums is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.05. The margin-adjusted share is about 43.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.8 and under 2.5 is 2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.73. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.