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Swansea vs Birmingham Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · ChampionshipSat, 17 Jan 2026

Swansea

Sat, 17 Jan 202618:30

1 : 1

Full time

Birmingham

Pre-match win probability

36.5%Swansea29.6%Draw33.9%Birmingham

Our prediction

Swansea

Swansea is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.6
Confidence36.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Swansea 36.5%
  • Draw 29.6%
  • Birmingham 33.9%

Season statistics

Championship · highlighted side is stronger

SwanseaBirmingham

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.2% · 1.072.8% · 8.5
1.5 goals17.5% · 1.367.4% · 3.2
2.5 goals11.3% · 2.113.7% · 1.73
3.5 goals5.9% · 419% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes51.5%
No48.5%

Double chance

1X51.7%
X248.3%

Match result

Swansea2.6
Draw3.2
Birmingham2.8

Both teams to score

Yes51.5% · 1.8
No48.5% · 1.91

1X

Chance51.7%
Odds1.4

X2

Chance48.3%
Odds1.5

Swansea

Chance36.5%
Odds2.6

Draw

Chance29.6%
Odds3.2

Birmingham

Chance33.9%
Odds2.8

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Swansea at 2.6

SwanseaBirmingham
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall52%48%

Swansea vs Birmingham: prediction & preview

England · Championship · Sat, 17 Jan 2026

Swansea meet Birmingham in the England, Championship on 17 January 2026 at 18:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Swansea at 2.6. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 36.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.73, about 54.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Swansea vs Birmingham FAQs

4 questions

What time is Swansea vs Birmingham?

Kickoff is 18:30 on 17 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Swansea vs Birmingham?

Swansea is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.6. The margin-adjusted share is about 36.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.1 and under 2.5 is 1.73.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Swansea vs Birmingham prediction, H2H and stats