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Sweden vs Poland Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · World Cup - Qualification EuropeTue, 31 Mar 2026

Sweden

WDLLL

Tue, 31 Mar 202619:45

3 : 2

Full time

Poland

WWDWW

Pre-match win probability

47.3%Sweden27.1%Draw25.6%Poland

Our prediction

Away · Sweden

Sweden vs Poland listed tip from the board.

Odds3.7
Confidence47.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Sweden 47.3%
  • Draw 27.1%
  • Poland 25.6%

Season statistics

World Cup - Qualification Europe · highlighted side is stronger

SwedenPoland

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.062.5% · 9.5
1.5 goals18.2% · 1.37% · 3.4
2.5 goals11.8% · 213.1% · 1.8
3.5 goals7% · 3.418.2% · 1.3

Both teams to score

Yes52%
No48%

Double chance

1X57.5%
X242.5%

Match result

Sweden2
Draw3.5
Poland3.7

Both teams to score

Yes52% · 1.8
No48% · 1.95

1X

Chance57.5%
Odds1.28

X2

Chance42.5%
Odds1.73

Sweden

Chance47.3%
Odds2

Draw

Chance27.1%
Odds3.5

Poland

Chance25.6%
Odds3.7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 3.7

SwedenPoland
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall65%35%

Sweden vs Poland: prediction & preview

World · World Cup - Qualification Europe · Tue, 31 Mar 2026

Sweden meet Poland in the World, World Cup - Qualification Europe on 31 March 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Sweden at 2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 47.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Sweden vs Poland FAQs

4 questions

What time is Sweden vs Poland?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 31 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Sweden vs Poland?

Sweden is the shortest 1X2 price at 2. The margin-adjusted share is about 47.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2 and under 2.5 is 1.8.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Sweden vs Poland prediction, H2H and stats