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Swindon Town vs Newport County Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · EFL TrophyTue, 22 Sept 2026

Swindon Town

LLLWW

Tue, 22 Sept 202619:00

0 : 2

Full time

Newport County

DDLLD

Pre-match win probability

47.8%Swindon Town25.4%Draw26.8%Newport County

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Swindon Town

Swindon Town vs Newport County listed tip from the board.

Odds1.33
Confidence47.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Swindon Town 47.8%
  • Draw 25.4%
  • Newport County 26.8%

Season statistics

EFL Trophy · highlighted side is stronger

Swindon TownNewport County

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.042.6% · 9
1.5 goals19.1% · 1.225.8% · 4
2.5 goals13.7% · 1.711.1% · 2.1
3.5 goals8.9% · 2.6216.2% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Double chance

1X57.5%
X242.5%

Match result

Swindon Town1.91
Draw3.6
Newport County3.4

Both teams to score

Yes55.7% · 1.67
No44.3% · 2.1

1X

Chance57.5%
Odds1.33

X2

Chance42.5%
Odds1.8

Swindon Town

Chance47.8%
Odds1.91

Draw

Chance25.4%
Odds3.6

Newport County

Chance26.8%
Odds3.4

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.33

Swindon TownNewport County
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall64%36%

Swindon Town vs Newport County: prediction & preview

England · EFL Trophy · Tue, 22 Sept 2026

Swindon Town meet Newport County in the England, EFL Trophy on 22 September 2026 at 19:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Swindon Town at 1.91. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 47.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Swindon Town vs Newport County FAQs

4 questions

What time is Swindon Town vs Newport County?

Kickoff is 19:00 on 22 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Swindon Town vs Newport County?

Swindon Town is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.91. The margin-adjusted share is about 47.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.7 and under 2.5 is 2.1.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Swindon Town vs Newport County prediction, H2H and stats