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Sydney vs Melbourne Victory Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Australia · A-LeagueSat, 7 Mar 2026

Sydney

WWLDW

Sat, 7 Mar 202609:35

2 : 2

Full time

Melbourne Victory

Pre-match win probability

37.2%Sydney26.3%Draw36.5%Melbourne Victory

Our prediction

Sydney

Sydney is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.55
Confidence37.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Sydney 37.2%
  • Draw 26.3%
  • Melbourne Victory 36.5%

Season statistics

A-League · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

SydneyMelbourne Victory
Goals scored (avg)
1.5–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1–

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Sydney4W 4D 2L in last 10
  • 25 OctSydney2 – 1Adelaide UnitedW
  • 16 OctSydney0 – 0Western Sydney WanderersD
  • 9 SeptSydney0 – 2Melbourne VictoryL
  • 18 AugSD Raiders0 – 1SydneyW
  • 9 AugBrisbane Roar2 – 4SydneyW
Melbourne Victory0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headSydney 3W · 1D · Melbourne Victory 5W · 2.4 goals a game
    • 9 SeptSydney0 – 2Melbourne Victory
    • 2 MayMelbourne Victory0 – 1Sydney
    • 26 JanMelbourne Victory4 – 0Sydney
    • 22 NovSydney3 – 0Melbourne Victory
    • 24 JanMelbourne Victory2 – 0Sydney
    • 28 DecSydney3 – 0Melbourne Victory

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals23.1% · 1.031.6% · 15
    1.5 goals20.3% · 1.174.8% · 5
    2.5 goals15.1% · 1.5710% · 2.38
    3.5 goals10% · 2.3815.1% · 1.57

    Both teams to score

    Yes62.5%
    No37.5%

    Double chance

    1X51%
    X249%

    Match result

    Sydney2.55
    Draw3.6
    Melbourne Victory2.6

    Both teams to score

    Yes62.5% · 1.5
    No37.5% · 2.5

    1X

    Chance51%
    Odds1.44

    X2

    Chance49%
    Odds1.5

    Sydney

    Chance37.2%
    Odds2.55

    Draw

    Chance26.3%
    Odds3.6

    Melbourne Victory

    Chance36.5%
    Odds2.6

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Sydney at 2.55

    SydneyMelbourne Victory
    Recent form94%6%
    Attack60%40%
    Defence67%33%
    Goals model60%40%
    Head-to-head39%61%
    Overall50%50%

    Trends

    Trend · A-League

    Sydney scored 1.5 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · A-League

    Sydney conceded 1 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · A-League

    Failed to score in 3 of those 10.

    Trend · A-League

    Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 10.

    Sydney vs Melbourne Victory: prediction & preview

    Australia · A-League · Sat, 7 Mar 2026

    Sydney meet Melbourne Victory in the Australia, A-League on 7 March 2026 at 09:35 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–2.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Sydney at 2.55. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 37.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.57, about 60.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.5.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Sydney vs Melbourne Victory FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Sydney vs Melbourne Victory?

    Kickoff is 09:35 on 7 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Sydney vs Melbourne Victory?

    Sydney is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.55. The margin-adjusted share is about 37.2%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.57 and under 2.5 is 2.38.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.