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Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Lexington Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

USA · USL ChampionshipSat, 4 Jul 2026

Tampa Bay Rowdies

WLDWW

Sat, 4 Jul 202623:00

0 : 3

Live

Lexington

DWDWL

Pre-match win probability

57.3%Tampa Bay Rowdies23.7%Draw19%Lexington

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Tampa Bay Rowdies

Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Lexington listed tip from the board.

Odds1.12
Confidence57.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Tampa Bay Rowdies 57.3%
  • Draw 23.7%
  • Lexington 19%

Season statistics

USL Championship · highlighted side is stronger

Tampa Bay RowdiesLexington

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.042.6% · 9
1.5 goals19.2% · 1.225.8% · 4
2.5 goals13.5% · 1.7311.2% · 2.08
3.5 goals8.5% · 2.7516.7% · 1.4

Both teams to score

Yes51.5%
No48.5%

Double chance

1X65.7%
X234.3%

Match result

Tampa Bay Rowdies1.57
Draw3.8
Lexington4.75

Both teams to score

Yes51.5% · 1.8
No48.5% · 1.91

1X

Chance65.7%
Odds1.12

X2

Chance34.3%
Odds2.15

Tampa Bay Rowdies

Chance57.3%
Odds1.57

Draw

Chance23.7%
Odds3.8

Lexington

Chance19%
Odds4.75

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.12

Tampa Bay RowdiesLexington
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall75%25%

Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Lexington: prediction & preview

USA · USL Championship · Sat, 4 Jul 2026

Tampa Bay Rowdies meet Lexington in the USA, USL Championship on 4 July 2026 at 23:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Tampa Bay Rowdies at 1.57. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 57.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.73, about 54.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Lexington FAQs

4 questions

What time is Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Lexington?

Kickoff is 23:00 on 4 July 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Lexington?

Tampa Bay Rowdies is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.57. The margin-adjusted share is about 57.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.73 and under 2.5 is 2.08.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Lexington prediction, H2H and stats