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Tampa Bay Sun W vs Lexington W Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

USA · USL Super LeagueSun, 4 Oct 2026

Tampa Bay Sun W

Sun, 4 Oct 202622:00

1 : 1

Full time

Lexington W

Pre-match win probability

34.5%Tampa Bay Sun W25.6%Draw39.9%Lexington W

Our prediction

Lexington W

Lexington W is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.25
Confidence39.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Tampa Bay Sun W 34.5%
  • Draw 25.6%
  • Lexington W 39.9%

Season statistics

USL Super League · highlighted side is stronger

Tampa Bay Sun WLexington W

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.3% · 1.012% · 12
1.5 goals18.8% · 1.256.3% · 3.75
2.5 goals12.7% · 1.8512.1% · 1.95
3.5 goals7.2% · 3.2517.7% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes53.6%
No46.4%

Double chance

1X47.8%
X252.2%

Match result

Tampa Bay Sun W2.6
Draw3.5
Lexington W2.25

Both teams to score

Yes53.6% · 1.73
No46.4% · 2

1X

Chance47.8%
Odds1.53

X2

Chance52.2%
Odds1.4

Tampa Bay Sun W

Chance34.5%
Odds2.6

Draw

Chance25.6%
Odds3.5

Lexington W

Chance39.9%
Odds2.25

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Lexington W at 2.25

Tampa Bay Sun WLexington W
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall46%54%

Tampa Bay Sun W vs Lexington W: prediction & preview

USA · USL Super League · Sun, 4 Oct 2026

Tampa Bay Sun W meet Lexington W in the USA, USL Super League on 4 October 2026 at 22:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Lexington W at 2.25. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Tampa Bay Sun W vs Lexington W FAQs

4 questions

What time is Tampa Bay Sun W vs Lexington W?

Kickoff is 22:00 on 4 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Tampa Bay Sun W vs Lexington W?

Lexington W is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.25. The margin-adjusted share is about 39.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.85 and under 2.5 is 1.95.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.73. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Tampa Bay Sun W vs Lexington W prediction, H2H and stats