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Tapatío vs Cancún Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MXFri, 24 Apr 2026

Tapatío

11th in table · 15 pts

LLWLL

Fri, 24 Apr 202602:00

1 : 1

Full time

Cancún

2nd in table · 30 pts

LWDDW

Pre-match win probability

50.3%Tapatío25.9%Draw23.8%Cancún

Our prediction

Tapatío

Tapatío is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.8
Confidence50.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Tapatío 50.3%
  • Draw 25.9%
  • Cancún 23.8%

Season statistics

Liga de Expansión MX · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

TapatíoCancún
Goals scored (avg)
1.82.2
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
2.21.2
Wins
49
Played
1414

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Tapatío3W 1D 6L in last 10
  • 26 OctTapatío1 – 2MonarcasL
  • 18 OctDurango5 – 0TapatíoL
  • 14 OctTapatío4 – 1TepatitlánW
  • 10 OctTapatío2 – 4CA La PazL
  • 4 OctCancún1 – 0TapatíoL
Cancún4W 4D 2L in last 10
  • 24 OctTepatitlán0 – 4CancúnW
  • 18 OctCancún1 – 1Venados FCD
  • 11 OctMineros de Zacatecas2 – 2CancúnD
  • 4 OctCancún1 – 0TapatíoW
  • 26 SeptTlaxcala4 – 1CancúnL
H2H
Head to headTapatío 2W · 2D · Cancún 5W · 1.6 goals a game
  • 4 OctCancún1 – 0Tapatío
  • 27 AprCancún1 – 0Tapatío
  • 7 MarTapatío1 – 2Cancún
  • 28 SeptCancún1 – 0Tapatío
  • 6 AprCancún1 – 2Tapatío
  • 20 OctTapatío2 – 0Cancún

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals53.9% · 1.7546.1% · 2.05

Double chance

1X62.5%
X237.5%

Match result

Tapatío1.8
Draw3.5
Cancún3.8

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance62.5%
Odds1.2

X2

Chance37.5%
Odds2

Tapatío

Chance50.3%
Odds1.8

Draw

Chance25.9%
Odds3.5

Cancún

Chance23.8%
Odds3.8

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Tapatío at 1.8

TapatíoCancún
Recent form38%62%
Attack45%55%
Defence31%69%
Goals model45%55%
Head-to-head33%67%
Overall68%32%

Trends

Trend · Liga de Expansión MX

Tapatío scored 1.8 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Liga de Expansión MX

Tapatío conceded 2.2 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Liga de Expansión MX

Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

Trend · Liga de Expansión MX

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 10.

Tapatío vs Cancún: prediction & preview

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · Fri, 24 Apr 2026

Tapatío meet Cancún in the Mexico, Liga de Expansión MX on 24 April 2026 at 02:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Tapatío at 1.8. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 50.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Tapatío vs Cancún FAQs

4 questions

What time is Tapatío vs Cancún?

Kickoff is 02:00 on 24 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Tapatío vs Cancún?

Tapatío is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.8. The margin-adjusted share is about 50.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.75 and under 2.5 is 2.05.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.