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Tartu Welco vs Tallinna Kalev Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Estonia · Esiliiga AFri, 23 Oct 2026

Tartu Welco

1st in table · 74 pts

WWWWW

Fri, 23 Oct 202617:00

3 : 2

Full time

Tallinna Kalev

8th in table · 37 pts

LDLLL

Pre-match win probability

64%Tartu Welco18.9%Draw17.1%Tallinna Kalev

Our prediction

Over 2.5 · Tartu Welco

Tartu Welco vs Tallinna Kalev listed tip from the board.

Odds1.4
Confidence64%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Tartu Welco 64%
  • Draw 18.9%
  • Tallinna Kalev 17.1%

Season statistics

Esiliiga A · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Tartu WelcoTallinna Kalev
Goals scored (avg)
2.91.1
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
12.5
Wins
2310
Played
3432

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Tartu Welco6W 2D 1L in last 9
  • 18 OctTartu Welco4 – 3Nõmme United IIW
  • 15 OctFC Tallinn0 – 7Tartu WelcoW
  • 9 OctTartu Welco4 – 0ElvaW
  • 17 SeptViimsi0 – 2Tartu WelcoW
  • 14 SeptTartu Welco3 – 0Nõmme Kalju IIW
Tallinna Kalev0W 2D 6L in last 8
  • 19 OctTallinna Kalev1 – 2FCI Levadia IIL
  • 10 OctTallinna Kalev1 – 2ViimsiL
  • 24 SeptElva3 – 2Tallinna KalevL
  • 18 SeptTallinna Kalev2 – 2Flora IID
  • 10 SeptNõmme United II2 – 1Tallinna KalevL
H2H
Head to headTartu Welco 1W · 1D · Tallinna Kalev 4W · 2.8 goals a game
  • 5 SeptTallinna Kalev1 – 1Tartu Welco
  • 9 MayTallinna Kalev2 – 0Tartu Welco
  • 5 MarTartu Welco3 – 0Tallinna Kalev
  • 15 JulTartu Welco0 – 4Tallinna Kalev
  • 31 OctTartu Welco2 – 3Tallinna Kalev
  • 12 AugTartu Welco0 – 1Tallinna Kalev

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals76.6% · 1.2223.4% · 4

Double chance

1X70.1%
X229.9%

Match result

Tartu Welco1.4
Draw4.75
Tallinna Kalev5.25

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance70.1%
Odds1.11

X2

Chance29.9%
Odds2.6

Tartu Welco

Chance64%
Odds1.4

Draw

Chance18.9%
Odds4.75

Tallinna Kalev

Chance17.1%
Odds5.25

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 2.5 at 1.4

Tartu WelcoTallinna Kalev
Recent form91%9%
Attack73%27%
Defence80%20%
Goals model73%27%
Head-to-head25%75%
Overall79%21%

Trends

Trend · Esiliiga A

Tartu Welco scored 2.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Esiliiga A

Tartu Welco conceded 1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Esiliiga A

Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

Trend · Esiliiga A

Kept a clean sheet in 5 of those 9.

Tartu Welco vs Tallinna Kalev: prediction & preview

Estonia · Esiliiga A · Fri, 23 Oct 2026

Tartu Welco meet Tallinna Kalev in the Estonia, Esiliiga A on 23 October 2026 at 17:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Tartu Welco at 1.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 64% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.22, about 76.6% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Tartu Welco vs Tallinna Kalev FAQs

4 questions

What time is Tartu Welco vs Tallinna Kalev?

Kickoff is 17:00 on 23 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Tartu Welco vs Tallinna Kalev?

Tartu Welco is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 64%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.22 and under 2.5 is 4.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.