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Tenerife vs Lugo Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1Sat, 7 Mar 2026

Tenerife

1st in table · 76 pts

DLDDD

Sat, 7 Mar 202616:15

1 : 1

Full time

Lugo

9th in table · 53 pts

WDWDL

Pre-match win probability

58.9%Tenerife27.3%Draw13.9%Lugo

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Tenerife

Tenerife vs Lugo listed tip from the board.

Odds1.07
Confidence58.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Tenerife 58.9%
  • Draw 27.3%
  • Lugo 13.9%

Season statistics

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

TenerifeLugo
Goals scored (avg)
1–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.4–
Wins
2213
Played
3838

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Tenerife2W 5D 3L in last 10
  • 25 OctSabadell1 – 1TenerifeD
  • 19 OctCelta de Vigo II1 – 1TenerifeD
  • 12 OctTenerife1 – 1GironaD
  • 5 OctCordoba3 – 2TenerifeL
  • 26 SeptTenerife1 – 1CadizD
Lugo0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headTenerife 2W · 5D · Lugo 2W · 2.4 goals a game
    • 7 DecLugo2 – 2Tenerife
    • 7 AprLugo0 – 0Tenerife
    • 21 AugTenerife1 – 1Lugo
    • 1 MayLugo0 – 2Tenerife
    • 11 DecTenerife1 – 1Lugo
    • 23 JanLugo2 – 0Tenerife

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals21.3% · 1.13.6% · 6.5
    1.5 goals16.2% · 1.448.9% · 2.62
    2.5 goals9.8% · 2.3815.3% · 1.53
    3.5 goals5.4% · 4.3319.5% · 1.2

    Both teams to score

    Yes37.5%
    No62.5%

    Double chance

    1X67.8%
    X232.2%

    Match result

    Tenerife1.53
    Draw3.3
    Lugo6.5

    Both teams to score

    Yes37.5% · 2.5
    No62.5% · 1.5

    1X

    Chance67.8%
    Odds1.07

    X2

    Chance32.2%
    Odds2.25

    Tenerife

    Chance58.9%
    Odds1.53

    Draw

    Chance27.3%
    Odds3.3

    Lugo

    Chance13.9%
    Odds6.5

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.07

    TenerifeLugo
    Recent form92%8%
    Attack50%50%
    Defence62%38%
    Goals model50%50%
    Head-to-head50%50%
    Overall81%19%

    Trends

    Trend · Primera División RFEF - Group 1

    Tenerife scored 1 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Primera División RFEF - Group 1

    Tenerife conceded 1.4 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Primera División RFEF - Group 1

    Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

    Trend · Primera División RFEF - Group 1

    Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 10.

    Tenerife vs Lugo: prediction & preview

    Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Sat, 7 Mar 2026

    Tenerife meet Lugo in the Spain, Primera División RFEF - Group 1 on 7 March 2026 at 16:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Tenerife at 1.53. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 58.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.53, about 60.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.5.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Tenerife vs Lugo FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Tenerife vs Lugo?

    Kickoff is 16:15 on 7 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Tenerife vs Lugo?

    Tenerife is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.53. The margin-adjusted share is about 58.9%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 2.38 and under 2.5 is 1.53.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 2.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.