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Tepatitlán vs CA La Paz Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MXSat, 8 Aug 2026

Tepatitlán

WDLLL

Sat, 8 Aug 202602:00

0 : 5

Full time

CA La Paz

WLWDW

Pre-match win probability

44.5%Tepatitlán26.7%Draw28.8%CA La Paz

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Tepatitlán

Tepatitlán vs CA La Paz listed tip from the board.

Odds1.73
Confidence44.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Tepatitlán 44.5%
  • Draw 26.7%
  • CA La Paz 28.8%

Season statistics

Liga de Expansión MX · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

TepatitlánCA La Paz
Goals scored (avg)
0.92.4
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
3.11.3

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Tepatitlán2W 1D 7L in last 10
  • 24 OctTepatitlán0 – 4CancúnL
  • 18 OctPiratas3 – 0TepatitlánL
  • 14 OctTapatío4 – 1TepatitlánL
  • 10 OctTepatitlán1 – 1MonarcasD
  • 3 OctTepatitlán3 – 1CDS Tampico MaderoW
CA La Paz6W 3D 1L in last 10
  • 25 OctCDS Tampico Madero1 – 3CA La PazW
  • 17 OctCA La Paz2 – 2TlaxcalaD
  • 10 OctTapatío2 – 4CA La PazW
  • 3 OctCA La Paz1 – 2Venados FCL
  • 25 SeptAlebrijes de Oaxaca1 – 3CA La PazW
H2H
Head to headTepatitlán 4W · 2D · CA La Paz 2W · 3.3 goals a game
  • 11 AprCA La Paz1 – 1Tepatitlán
  • 2 NovTepatitlán0 – 1CA La Paz
  • 22 MarTepatitlán4 – 1CA La Paz
  • 5 OctCA La Paz2 – 5Tepatitlán
  • 24 JanCA La Paz2 – 0Tepatitlán
  • 6 OctTepatitlán4 – 0CA La Paz

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals51.3% · 1.8548.7% · 1.95

Double chance

1X56.5%
X243.5%

Match result

Tepatitlán2.1
Draw3.5
CA La Paz3.25

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance56.5%
Odds1.33

X2

Chance43.5%
Odds1.73

Tepatitlán

Chance44.5%
Odds2.1

Draw

Chance26.7%
Odds3.5

CA La Paz

Chance28.8%
Odds3.25

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.73

TepatitlánCA La Paz
Recent form25%75%
Attack27%73%
Defence6%94%
Goals model27%73%
Head-to-head63%37%
Overall61%39%

Trends

Trend · Liga de Expansión MX

Tepatitlán scored 0.9 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Liga de Expansión MX

Tepatitlán conceded 3.1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Liga de Expansión MX

Failed to score in 5 of those 10.

Trend · Liga de Expansión MX

Over 2.5 goals in 8 of those 10.

Tepatitlán vs CA La Paz: prediction & preview

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · Sat, 8 Aug 2026

Tepatitlán meet CA La Paz in the Mexico, Liga de Expansión MX on 8 August 2026 at 02:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–5.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Tepatitlán at 2.1. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 44.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Tepatitlán vs CA La Paz FAQs

4 questions

What time is Tepatitlán vs CA La Paz?

Kickoff is 02:00 on 8 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Tepatitlán vs CA La Paz?

Tepatitlán is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.1. The margin-adjusted share is about 44.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.85 and under 2.5 is 1.95.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.