Tepatitlán vs Tapatío Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Tepatitlán

8th in table · 18 pts

WDLLL

Sat, 24 Jan 202602:00

2 : 0

Full time

Tapatío

11th in table · 15 pts

WDWWL

Pre-match win probability

51.9%Tepatitlán24.4%Draw23.7%Tapatío

Our prediction

Away · Tepatitlán

Tepatitlán vs Tapatío listed tip from the board.

Odds4
Confidence51.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Tepatitlán 51.9%
  • Draw 24.4%
  • Tapatío 23.7%

Season statistics

Liga de Expansión MX · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

TepatitlánTapatío
Goals scored (avg)
0.9–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
3.1–
Wins
44
Played
1414

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Tepatitlán2W 1D 7L in last 10
  • 24 OctTepatitlán0 – 4CancúnL
  • 18 OctPiratas3 – 0TepatitlánL
  • 14 OctTapatío4 – 1TepatitlánL
  • 10 OctTepatitlán1 – 1MonarcasD
  • 3 OctTepatitlán3 – 1CDS Tampico MaderoW
Tapatío0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headTepatitlán 3W · 3D · Tapatío 3W · 2.9 goals a game
    • 14 OctTapatío4 – 1Tepatitlán
    • 18 AugTapatío1 – 3Tepatitlán
    • 15 FebTepatitlán1 – 0Tapatío
    • 11 NovTapatío1 – 1Tepatitlán
    • 8 NovTepatitlán1 – 1Tapatío
    • 1 SeptTapatío2 – 0Tepatitlán

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    2.5 goals54.6% · 1.7345.4% · 2.08

    Double chance

    1X61%
    X239%

    Match result

    Tepatitlán1.83
    Draw3.9
    Tapatío4

    No BTTS prices stored.

    1X

    Chance61%
    Odds1.22

    X2

    Chance39%
    Odds1.91

    Tepatitlán

    Chance51.9%
    Odds1.83

    Draw

    Chance24.4%
    Odds3.9

    Tapatío

    Chance23.7%
    Odds4

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Away at 4

    TepatitlánTapatío
    Recent form88%12%
    Attack47%53%
    Defence9%91%
    Goals model47%53%
    Head-to-head50%50%
    Overall69%31%

    Trends

    Trend · Liga de Expansión MX

    Tepatitlán scored 0.9 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Liga de Expansión MX

    Tepatitlán conceded 3.1 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Liga de Expansión MX

    Failed to score in 5 of those 10.

    Trend · Liga de Expansión MX

    Over 2.5 goals in 8 of those 10.

    Tepatitlán vs Tapatío: prediction & preview

    Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · Sat, 24 Jan 2026

    Tepatitlán meet Tapatío in the Mexico, Liga de Expansión MX on 24 January 2026 at 02:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Tepatitlán at 1.83. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 51.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.73, about 54.6% after the margin).

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Tepatitlán vs Tapatío FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Tepatitlán vs Tapatío?

    Kickoff is 02:00 on 24 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Tepatitlán vs Tapatío?

    Tepatitlán is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.83. The margin-adjusted share is about 51.9%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.73 and under 2.5 is 2.08.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.