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Tepatitlán vs Venados FC Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MXSat, 21 Mar 2026

Tepatitlán

8th in table · 18 pts

LWLWD

Sat, 21 Mar 202602:00

2 : 0

Full time

Venados FC

9th in table · 18 pts

LLLWD

Pre-match win probability

60.4%Tepatitlán20.8%Draw18.7%Venados FC

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Tepatitlán

Tepatitlán vs Venados FC listed tip from the board.

Odds1.17
Confidence60.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Tepatitlán 60.4%
  • Draw 20.8%
  • Venados FC 18.7%

Season statistics

Liga de Expansión MX · highlighted side is stronger

TepatitlánVenados FC
Wins
45
Played
1414

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Tepatitlán0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Venados FC0W 0D 0L in last 0
      H2H
      Head to headTepatitlán 0W · 2D · Venados FC 7W · 3.7 goals a game
      • 13 SeptVenados FC5 – 0Tepatitlán
      • 11 OctVenados FC1 – 0Tepatitlán
      • 11 JanTepatitlán2 – 2Venados FC
      • 27 JulVenados FC1 – 1Tepatitlán
      • 19 JanTepatitlán0 – 5Venados FC
      • 28 SeptVenados FC5 – 1Tepatitlán

      Betting markets

      Bookmaker prices with margin removed

      Goal lineOverUnder
      2.5 goals58.1% · 1.6241.9% · 2.25

      Double chance

      1X65.3%
      X234.7%

      Match result

      Tepatitlán1.55
      Draw4.5
      Venados FC5

      No BTTS prices stored.

      1X

      Chance65.3%
      Odds1.17

      X2

      Chance34.7%
      Odds2.2

      Tepatitlán

      Chance60.4%
      Odds1.55

      Draw

      Chance20.8%
      Odds4.5

      Venados FC

      Chance18.7%
      Odds5

      No half-time prices stored.

      No corner prices stored.

      Model comparison

      Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.17

      TepatitlánVenados FC
      Recent form50%50%
      Attack50%50%
      Defence50%50%
      Goals model50%50%
      Head-to-head11%89%
      Overall76%24%

      Tepatitlán vs Venados FC: prediction & preview

      Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · Sat, 21 Mar 2026

      Tepatitlán meet Venados FC in the Mexico, Liga de Expansión MX on 21 March 2026 at 02:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

      On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Tepatitlán at 1.55. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 60.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

      The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin).

      Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

      Tepatitlán vs Venados FC FAQs

      4 questions

      What time is Tepatitlán vs Venados FC?

      Kickoff is 02:00 on 21 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

      Which outcome is shortest on Tepatitlán vs Venados FC?

      Tepatitlán is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.55. The margin-adjusted share is about 60.4%.

      What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

      Over 2.5 is 1.62 and under 2.5 is 2.25.

      Do both teams score on this match?

      A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.

      Tepatitlán vs Venados FC prediction, H2H and stats