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The New Saints vs Caernarfon Town Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Wales · Premier LeagueFri, 20 Feb 2026

The New Saints

Fri, 20 Feb 202620:45

2 : 1

Full time

Caernarfon Town

Pre-match win probability

71.7%The New Saints17.1%Draw11.2%Caernarfon Town

Our prediction

Home · The New Saints

The New Saints vs Caernarfon Town listed tip from the board.

Odds1.25
Confidence71.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • The New Saints 71.7%
  • Draw 17.1%
  • Caernarfon Town 11.2%

Season statistics

Premier League · highlighted side is stronger

The New SaintsCaernarfon Town

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals0%1.5% · 21
1.5 goals27.2% · 1.125.5% · 5.5
2.5 goals21.8% · 1.411.1% · 2.75
3.5 goals15.3% · 217.6% · 1.73

Both teams to score

Yes51.5%
No48.5%

Double chance

1X76.4%
X223.6%

Match result

The New Saints1.25
Draw5.25
Caernarfon Town8

Both teams to score

Yes51.5% · 1.8
No48.5% · 1.91

1X

Chance76.4%
Odds1.05

X2

Chance23.6%
Odds3.4

The New Saints

Chance71.7%
Odds1.25

Draw

Chance17.1%
Odds5.25

Caernarfon Town

Chance11.2%
Odds8

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.25

The New SaintsCaernarfon Town
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall86%14%

The New Saints vs Caernarfon Town: prediction & preview

Wales · Premier League · Fri, 20 Feb 2026

The New Saints meet Caernarfon Town in the Wales, Premier League on 20 February 2026 at 20:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is The New Saints at 1.25. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 71.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.4, about 66.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

The New Saints vs Caernarfon Town FAQs

4 questions

What time is The New Saints vs Caernarfon Town?

Kickoff is 20:45 on 20 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on The New Saints vs Caernarfon Town?

The New Saints is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.25. The margin-adjusted share is about 71.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.4 and under 2.5 is 2.75.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

The New Saints vs Caernarfon Town prediction, H2H and stats