The New Saints vs Colwyn Bay Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Wales · Premier LeagueFri, 28 Aug 2026

The New Saints

1st in table · 40 pts

WWWWW

Fri, 28 Aug 202619:45

5 : 1

Full time

Colwyn Bay

5th in table · 26 pts

WLWDD

Pre-match win probability

70.9%The New Saints17.1%Draw12%Colwyn Bay

Our prediction

1X · The New Saints

The New Saints vs Colwyn Bay listed tip from the board.

Odds1.04
Confidence70.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • The New Saints 70.9%
  • Draw 17.1%
  • Colwyn Bay 12%

Season statistics

Premier League · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

The New SaintsColwyn Bay
Goals scored (avg)
4.22
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.60.9
Wins
138
Played
1414

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

The New Saints10W 0D 0L in last 10
  • 23 OctThe New Saints9 – 0Ammanford AFCW
  • 16 OctAirbus UK1 – 2The New SaintsW
  • 9 OctHolywell1 – 6The New SaintsW
  • 3 OctThe New Saints9 – 0Cambrian & ClydachW
  • 26 SeptTrefelin1 – 3The New SaintsW
Colwyn Bay6W 2D 2L in last 10
  • 23 OctColwyn Bay2 – 2Cardiff METD
  • 17 OctBuckley Town2 – 2Colwyn BayD
  • 10 OctFlint Town United0 – 1Colwyn BayW
  • 3 OctBriton Ferry1 – 0Colwyn BayL
  • 26 SeptColwyn Bay1 – 0Haverfordwest County AFCW
H2H
Head to headThe New Saints 6W · 1D · Colwyn Bay 1W · 2.6 goals a game
  • 20 MarThe New Saints0 – 2Colwyn Bay
  • 13 FebColwyn Bay0 – 2The New Saints
  • 13 JanThe New Saints1 – 0Colwyn Bay
  • 25 AugColwyn Bay1 – 1The New Saints
  • 15 DecThe New Saints4 – 1Colwyn Bay
  • 31 OctThe New Saints6 – 1Colwyn Bay

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.8% · 1.022.1% · 11
1.5 goals19.9% · 1.175.2% · 4.5
2.5 goals15.2% · 1.539.8% · 2.38
3.5 goals10.3% · 2.2514.8% · 1.57

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X76.6%
X223.4%

Match result

The New Saints1.27
Draw5.25
Colwyn Bay7.5

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance76.6%
Odds1.04

X2

Chance23.4%
Odds3.4

The New Saints

Chance70.9%
Odds1.27

Draw

Chance17.1%
Odds5.25

Colwyn Bay

Chance12%
Odds7.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.04

The New SaintsColwyn Bay
Recent form60%40%
Attack68%32%
Defence53%47%
Goals model68%32%
Head-to-head81%19%
Overall86%14%

Trends

Trend · Premier League

The New Saints scored 4.2 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Premier League

The New Saints conceded 0.6 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Premier League

Kept a clean sheet in 5 of those 10.

Trend · Premier League

Over 2.5 goals in 8 of those 10.

The New Saints vs Colwyn Bay: prediction & preview

Wales · Premier League · Fri, 28 Aug 2026

The New Saints meet Colwyn Bay in the Wales, Premier League on 28 August 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 5–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is The New Saints at 1.27. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 70.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.53, about 60.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

The New Saints vs Colwyn Bay FAQs

4 questions

What time is The New Saints vs Colwyn Bay?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 28 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on The New Saints vs Colwyn Bay?

The New Saints is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.27. The margin-adjusted share is about 70.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.53 and under 2.5 is 2.38.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.