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Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Montedio Yamagata Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Japan · J2 LeagueSat, 21 Feb 2026

Thespakusatsu Gunma

6th in table · 23 pts

LWDLW

Sat, 21 Feb 202606:00

1 : 1

Full time

Montedio Yamagata

7th in table · 22 pts

LLDLL

Pre-match win probability

24%Thespakusatsu Gunma26.8%Draw49.2%Montedio Yamagata

Our prediction

Montedio Yamagata

Montedio Yamagata is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.85
Confidence49.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Thespakusatsu Gunma 24%
  • Draw 26.8%
  • Montedio Yamagata 49.2%

Season statistics

J2 League · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Thespakusatsu GunmaMontedio Yamagata
Goals scored (avg)
0.80.5
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.51.2
Wins
66
Played
1818

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Thespakusatsu Gunma3W 1D 6L in last 10
  • 24 OctThespakusatsu Gunma1 – 0Kamatamare SanukiW
  • 21 OctMatsumoto Yamaga2 – 0Thespakusatsu GunmaL
  • 17 OctGainare Tottori1 – 1Thespakusatsu GunmaD
  • 10 OctThespakusatsu Gunma2 – 1FC RyukyuW
  • 3 OctEhime FC3 – 1Thespakusatsu GunmaL
Montedio Yamagata2W 1D 7L in last 10
  • 25 OctMontedio Yamagata0 – 2Tegevajaro MiyazakiL
  • 21 OctMontedio Yamagata0 – 2Consadole SapporoL
  • 17 OctFujieda MYFC0 – 0Montedio YamagataD
  • 11 OctMontedio Yamagata0 – 1Vegalta SendaiL
  • 3 OctOita Trinita2 – 1Montedio YamagataL
H2H
Head to headThespakusatsu Gunma 5W · 1D · Montedio Yamagata 3W · 2.1 goals a game
  • 6 MayMontedio Yamagata1 – 2Thespakusatsu Gunma
  • 14 SeptMontedio Yamagata4 – 1Thespakusatsu Gunma
  • 2 JunThespakusatsu Gunma0 – 0Montedio Yamagata
  • 29 OctMontedio Yamagata2 – 1Thespakusatsu Gunma
  • 12 MarThespakusatsu Gunma1 – 0Montedio Yamagata
  • 23 JulMontedio Yamagata0 – 1Thespakusatsu Gunma

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.4% · 1.052.8% · 8.5
1.5 goals18.4% · 1.286.7% · 3.5
2.5 goals12.1% · 1.9512.7% · 1.85
3.5 goals6.9% · 3.418.1% · 1.3

Both teams to score

Yes51.5%
No48.5%

Double chance

1X39.6%
X260.4%

Match result

Thespakusatsu Gunma3.8
Draw3.4
Montedio Yamagata1.85

Both teams to score

Yes51.5% · 1.8
No48.5% · 1.91

1X

Chance39.6%
Odds1.8

X2

Chance60.4%
Odds1.18

Thespakusatsu Gunma

Chance24%
Odds3.8

Draw

Chance26.8%
Odds3.4

Montedio Yamagata

Chance49.2%
Odds1.85

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Montedio Yamagata at 1.85

Thespakusatsu GunmaMontedio Yamagata
Recent form59%41%
Attack62%38%
Defence45%55%
Goals model62%38%
Head-to-head61%39%
Overall33%67%

Trends

Trend · J2 League

Thespakusatsu Gunma scored 0.8 per game in the last 10.

Trend · J2 League

Thespakusatsu Gunma conceded 1.5 per game in the last 10.

Trend · J2 League

Failed to score in 3 of those 10.

Trend · J2 League

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 10.

Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Montedio Yamagata: prediction & preview

Japan · J2 League · Sat, 21 Feb 2026

Thespakusatsu Gunma meet Montedio Yamagata in the Japan, J2 League on 21 February 2026 at 06:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Montedio Yamagata at 1.85. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 49.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Montedio Yamagata FAQs

4 questions

What time is Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Montedio Yamagata?

Kickoff is 06:00 on 21 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Montedio Yamagata?

Montedio Yamagata is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.85. The margin-adjusted share is about 49.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.95 and under 2.5 is 1.85.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.