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Thionville Lusitanos vs Caen Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

France · Ligue 3Fri, 14 Aug 2026

Thionville Lusitanos

Fri, 14 Aug 202618:00

4 : 3

Full time

Caen

Pre-match win probability

39.7%Thionville Lusitanos28.6%Draw31.7%Caen

Our prediction

Thionville Lusitanos

Thionville Lusitanos is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.3
Confidence39.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Thionville Lusitanos 39.7%
  • Draw 28.6%
  • Caen 31.7%

Season statistics

Ligue 3 · highlighted side is stronger

Thionville LusitanosCaen

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22% · 1.073.1% · 7.5
1.5 goals17.7% · 1.337.2% · 3.25
2.5 goals11.3% · 2.0813.6% · 1.73
3.5 goals6.7% · 3.518.4% · 1.28

Both teams to score

Yes48.5%
No51.5%

Double chance

1X55.1%
X244.9%

Match result

Thionville Lusitanos2.3
Draw3.2
Caen2.88

Both teams to score

Yes48.5% · 1.91
No51.5% · 1.8

1X

Chance55.1%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance44.9%
Odds1.67

Thionville Lusitanos

Chance39.7%
Odds2.3

Draw

Chance28.6%
Odds3.2

Caen

Chance31.7%
Odds2.88

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Thionville Lusitanos at 2.3

Thionville LusitanosCaen
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall56%44%

Thionville Lusitanos vs Caen: prediction & preview

France · Ligue 3 · Fri, 14 Aug 2026

Thionville Lusitanos meet Caen in the France, Ligue 3 on 14 August 2026 at 18:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Thionville Lusitanos at 2.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.73, about 54.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Thionville Lusitanos vs Caen FAQs

4 questions

What time is Thionville Lusitanos vs Caen?

Kickoff is 18:00 on 14 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Thionville Lusitanos vs Caen?

Thionville Lusitanos is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 39.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.08 and under 2.5 is 1.73.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Thionville Lusitanos vs Caen prediction, H2H and stats