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Thionville Lusitanos vs La Roche VF Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

France · Ligue 3Sat, 26 Sept 2026

Thionville Lusitanos

DLDDW

Sat, 26 Sept 202619:45

1 : 2

Full time

La Roche VF

WDDWD

Pre-match win probability

35.4%Thionville Lusitanos27.8%Draw36.8%La Roche VF

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Thionville Lusitanos

Thionville Lusitanos vs La Roche VF listed tip from the board.

Odds1.44
Confidence36.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Thionville Lusitanos 35.4%
  • Draw 27.8%
  • La Roche VF 36.8%

Season statistics

Ligue 3 · highlighted side is stronger

Thionville LusitanosLa Roche VF

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.2% · 1.062.9% · 8
1.5 goals18.4% · 1.286.7% · 3.5
2.5 goals12.1% · 1.9512.7% · 1.85
3.5 goals7.2% · 3.2517.7% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes51.5%
No48.5%

Double chance

1X50%
X250%

Match result

Thionville Lusitanos2.55
Draw3.25
La Roche VF2.45

Both teams to score

Yes51.5% · 1.8
No48.5% · 1.91

1X

Chance50%
Odds1.44

X2

Chance50%
Odds1.44

Thionville Lusitanos

Chance35.4%
Odds2.55

Draw

Chance27.8%
Odds3.25

La Roche VF

Chance36.8%
Odds2.45

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.44

Thionville LusitanosLa Roche VF
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall49%51%

Thionville Lusitanos vs La Roche VF: prediction & preview

France · Ligue 3 · Sat, 26 Sept 2026

Thionville Lusitanos meet La Roche VF in the France, Ligue 3 on 26 September 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is La Roche VF at 2.45. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 36.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Thionville Lusitanos vs La Roche VF FAQs

4 questions

What time is Thionville Lusitanos vs La Roche VF?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 26 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Thionville Lusitanos vs La Roche VF?

La Roche VF is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.45. The margin-adjusted share is about 36.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.95 and under 2.5 is 1.85.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Thionville Lusitanos vs La Roche VF prediction, H2H and stats