Get Premium

Tigres UANL vs Guadalajara Chivas Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mexico · Liga MXSun, 3 May 2026

Tigres UANL

WDDWL

Sun, 3 May 202602:00

3 : 1

Full time

Guadalajara Chivas

DDWLD

Pre-match win probability

49.7%Tigres UANL27.1%Draw23.2%Guadalajara Chivas

Our prediction

1X · Tigres UANL

Tigres UANL vs Guadalajara Chivas listed tip from the board.

Odds1.22
Confidence49.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Tigres UANL 49.7%
  • Draw 27.1%
  • Guadalajara Chivas 23.2%

Season statistics

Liga MX · highlighted side is stronger

Tigres UANLGuadalajara Chivas

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.1% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.8% · 1.337.3% · 3.25
2.5 goals11.4% · 2.0813.7% · 1.73
3.5 goals6.3% · 3.7518.9% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X60%
X240%

Match result

Tigres UANL1.91
Draw3.5
Guadalajara Chivas4.1

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.91
No50% · 1.91

1X

Chance60%
Odds1.22

X2

Chance40%
Odds1.83

Tigres UANL

Chance49.7%
Odds1.91

Draw

Chance27.1%
Odds3.5

Guadalajara Chivas

Chance23.2%
Odds4.1

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.22

Tigres UANLGuadalajara Chivas
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall68%32%

Tigres UANL vs Guadalajara Chivas: prediction & preview

Mexico · Liga MX · Sun, 3 May 2026

Tigres UANL meet Guadalajara Chivas in the Mexico, Liga MX on 3 May 2026 at 02:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Tigres UANL at 1.91. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 49.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.73, about 54.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.91.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Tigres UANL vs Guadalajara Chivas FAQs

4 questions

What time is Tigres UANL vs Guadalajara Chivas?

Kickoff is 02:00 on 3 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Tigres UANL vs Guadalajara Chivas?

Tigres UANL is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.91. The margin-adjusted share is about 49.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.08 and under 2.5 is 1.73.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.