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Tigres UANL vs Toluca Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mexico · Liga MXFri, 12 Dec 2025

Tigres UANL

DDWLW

Fri, 12 Dec 202503:00

1 : 0

Full time

Toluca

WLDWW

Pre-match win probability

45.1%Tigres UANL28.7%Draw26.3%Toluca

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Tigres UANL

Tigres UANL vs Toluca listed tip from the board.

Odds1.28
Confidence45.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Tigres UANL 45.1%
  • Draw 28.7%
  • Toluca 26.3%

Season statistics

Liga MX · highlighted side is stronger

Tigres UANLToluca

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.6% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals18.9% · 1.256.3% · 3.75
2.5 goals12.1% · 1.9512.8% · 1.85
3.5 goals7.3% · 3.2517.8% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Double chance

1X56.6%
X243.4%

Match result

Tigres UANL2.1
Draw3.3
Toluca3.6

Both teams to score

Yes55.7% · 1.67
No44.3% · 2.1

1X

Chance56.6%
Odds1.28

X2

Chance43.4%
Odds1.67

Tigres UANL

Chance45.1%
Odds2.1

Draw

Chance28.7%
Odds3.3

Toluca

Chance26.3%
Odds3.6

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.28

Tigres UANLToluca
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall63%37%

Tigres UANL vs Toluca: prediction & preview

Mexico · Liga MX · Fri, 12 Dec 2025

Tigres UANL meet Toluca in the Mexico, Liga MX on 12 December 2025 at 03:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Tigres UANL at 2.1. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 45.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Tigres UANL vs Toluca FAQs

4 questions

What time is Tigres UANL vs Toluca?

Kickoff is 03:00 on 12 December 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Tigres UANL vs Toluca?

Tigres UANL is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.1. The margin-adjusted share is about 45.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.95 and under 2.5 is 1.85.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Tigres UANL vs Toluca prediction, H2H and stats