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Tlaxcala vs Leones Negros UDG Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MXSun, 8 Feb 2026

Tlaxcala

LWWLL

Sun, 8 Feb 202619:00

5 : 2

Full time

Leones Negros UDG

LDLWL

Pre-match win probability

40.1%Tlaxcala28.5%Draw31.4%Leones Negros UDG

Our prediction

Draw · Tlaxcala

Tlaxcala vs Leones Negros UDG listed tip from the board.

Odds3.3
Confidence40.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Tlaxcala 40.1%
  • Draw 28.5%
  • Leones Negros UDG 31.4%

Season statistics

Liga de Expansión MX · highlighted side is stronger

TlaxcalaLeones Negros UDG

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals51.3% · 1.8548.7% · 1.95

Double chance

1X53.6%
X246.4%

Match result

Tlaxcala2.35
Draw3.3
Leones Negros UDG3

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance53.6%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance46.4%
Odds1.57

Tlaxcala

Chance40.1%
Odds2.35

Draw

Chance28.5%
Odds3.3

Leones Negros UDG

Chance31.4%
Odds3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Draw at 3.3

TlaxcalaLeones Negros UDG
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall56%44%

Tlaxcala vs Leones Negros UDG: prediction & preview

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · Sun, 8 Feb 2026

Tlaxcala meet Leones Negros UDG in the Mexico, Liga de Expansión MX on 8 February 2026 at 19:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 5–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Tlaxcala at 2.35. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Tlaxcala vs Leones Negros UDG FAQs

4 questions

What time is Tlaxcala vs Leones Negros UDG?

Kickoff is 19:00 on 8 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Tlaxcala vs Leones Negros UDG?

Tlaxcala is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.35. The margin-adjusted share is about 40.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.85 and under 2.5 is 1.95.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.

Tlaxcala vs Leones Negros UDG prediction, H2H and stats