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Tlaxcala vs Piratas Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MXSat, 10 Oct 2026

Tlaxcala

8th in table · 19 pts

LWDDW

Sat, 10 Oct 202623:00

2 : 2

Live

Piratas

4th in table · 24 pts

Pre-match win probability

25.4%Tlaxcala27.6%Draw47%Piratas

Our prediction

Piratas

Piratas is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2
Confidence47%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Tlaxcala 25.4%
  • Draw 27.6%
  • Piratas 47%

Season statistics

Liga de Expansión MX · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

TlaxcalaPiratas
Goals scored (avg)
2–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.6–
Wins
57
Played
1414

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Tlaxcala4W 3D 2L in last 9
  • 25 OctTlaxcala2 – 0Correcaminos UatW
  • 17 OctCA La Paz2 – 2TlaxcalaD
  • 4 OctMonarcas1 – 1TlaxcalaD
  • 26 SeptTlaxcala4 – 1CancúnW
  • 21 SeptTapatío4 – 0TlaxcalaL
Piratas0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    2.5 goals52.6% · 1.847.4% · 2

    Double chance

    1X42.5%
    X257.5%

    Match result

    Tlaxcala3.7
    Draw3.4
    Piratas2

    No BTTS prices stored.

    1X

    Chance42.5%
    Odds1.73

    X2

    Chance57.5%
    Odds1.28

    Tlaxcala

    Chance25.4%
    Odds3.7

    Draw

    Chance27.6%
    Odds3.4

    Piratas

    Chance47%
    Odds2

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Piratas at 2

    TlaxcalaPiratas
    Recent form94%6%
    Attack67%33%
    Defence58%42%
    Goals model67%33%
    Overall35%65%

    Trends

    Trend · Liga de Expansión MX

    Tlaxcala scored 2 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Liga de Expansión MX

    Tlaxcala conceded 1.6 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Liga de Expansión MX

    Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

    Trend · Liga de Expansión MX

    Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 9.

    Tlaxcala vs Piratas: prediction & preview

    Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · Sat, 10 Oct 2026

    Tlaxcala meet Piratas in the Mexico, Liga de Expansión MX on 10 October 2026 at 23:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–2.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Piratas at 2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 47% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin).

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Tlaxcala vs Piratas FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Tlaxcala vs Piratas?

    Kickoff is 23:00 on 10 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Tlaxcala vs Piratas?

    Piratas is the shortest 1X2 price at 2. The margin-adjusted share is about 47%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.8 and under 2.5 is 2.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.