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Tokyo Verdy vs Machida Zelvia Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Japan · J1 LeagueSat, 21 Feb 2026

Tokyo Verdy

5th in table · 28 pts

DLLDW

Sat, 21 Feb 202606:00

2 : 2

Full time

Machida Zelvia

3rd in table · 37 pts

WWWWD

Pre-match win probability

23.6%Tokyo Verdy30.4%Draw46%Machida Zelvia

Our prediction

1X · Tokyo Verdy

Tokyo Verdy vs Machida Zelvia listed tip from the board.

Odds1.73
Confidence46%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Tokyo Verdy 23.6%
  • Draw 30.4%
  • Machida Zelvia 46%

Season statistics

J1 League · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Tokyo VerdyMachida Zelvia
Goals scored (avg)
0.91.7
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.50.6
Wins
1013
Played
1818

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Tokyo Verdy2W 4D 4L in last 10
  • 24 OctTokyo Verdy3 – 1Avispa FukuokaW
  • 21 OctYokohama F. Marinos2 – 2Tokyo VerdyD
  • 17 OctTokyo Verdy0 – 4FC TokyoL
  • 11 OctTokyo Verdy0 – 2Sanfrecce HiroshimaL
  • 7 OctGainare Tottori0 – 0Tokyo VerdyD
Machida Zelvia6W 3D 1L in last 10
  • 24 OctVissel Kobe0 – 0Machida ZelviaD
  • 21 OctShimizu S-pulse0 – 5Machida ZelviaW
  • 18 OctMachida Zelvia3 – 0Avispa FukuokaW
  • 15 OctTampines Rovers0 – 1Machida ZelviaW
  • 10 OctKyoto Sanga0 – 1Machida ZelviaW
H2H
Head to headTokyo Verdy 2W · 3D · Machida Zelvia 4W · 2.2 goals a game
  • 13 MayMachida Zelvia0 – 0Tokyo Verdy
  • 20 JulTokyo Verdy0 – 1Machida Zelvia
  • 26 FebMachida Zelvia0 – 1Tokyo Verdy
  • 14 JulTokyo Verdy0 – 1Machida Zelvia
  • 19 MayMachida Zelvia5 – 0Tokyo Verdy
  • 9 JulMachida Zelvia2 – 2Tokyo Verdy

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21% · 1.123.9% · 6
1.5 goals15.4% · 1.539.9% · 2.38
2.5 goals8.7% · 2.716.3% · 1.44
3.5 goals4.3% · 5.520.6% · 1.14

Both teams to score

Yes42.4%
No57.6%

Double chance

1X41.4%
X258.6%

Match result

Tokyo Verdy4
Draw3.1
Machida Zelvia2.05

Both teams to score

Yes42.4% · 2.2
No57.6% · 1.62

1X

Chance41.4%
Odds1.73

X2

Chance58.6%
Odds1.22

Tokyo Verdy

Chance23.6%
Odds4

Draw

Chance30.4%
Odds3.1

Machida Zelvia

Chance46%
Odds2.05

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.73

Tokyo VerdyMachida Zelvia
Recent form32%68%
Attack35%65%
Defence38%62%
Goals model35%65%
Head-to-head39%61%
Overall34%66%

Trends

Trend · J1 League

Tokyo Verdy scored 0.9 per game in the last 10.

Trend · J1 League

Tokyo Verdy conceded 1.5 per game in the last 10.

Trend · J1 League

Failed to score in 4 of those 10.

Trend · J1 League

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

Tokyo Verdy vs Machida Zelvia: prediction & preview

Japan · J1 League · Sat, 21 Feb 2026

Tokyo Verdy meet Machida Zelvia in the Japan, J1 League on 21 February 2026 at 06:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Machida Zelvia at 2.05. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 46% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.44, about 65.2% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Tokyo Verdy vs Machida Zelvia FAQs

4 questions

What time is Tokyo Verdy vs Machida Zelvia?

Kickoff is 06:00 on 21 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Tokyo Verdy vs Machida Zelvia?

Machida Zelvia is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.05. The margin-adjusted share is about 46%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.7 and under 2.5 is 1.44.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.