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Toluca vs Atlas Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mexico · Liga MXSun, 15 Mar 2026

Toluca

WWWWW

Sun, 15 Mar 202602:00

1 : 1

Full time

Atlas

LWLWL

Pre-match win probability

69%Toluca19.1%Draw11.9%Atlas

Our prediction

Home · Toluca

Toluca vs Atlas listed tip from the board.

Odds1.38
Confidence69%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Toluca 69%
  • Draw 19.1%
  • Atlas 11.9%

Season statistics

Liga MX · highlighted side is stronger

TolucaAtlas

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.7% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.3% · 1.225.9% · 4
2.5 goals13.6% · 1.7311.3% · 2.08
3.5 goals8.6% · 2.7516.8% · 1.4

Both teams to score

Yes46.7%
No53.3%

Double chance

1X73.5%
X226.5%

Match result

Toluca1.38
Draw5
Atlas8

Both teams to score

Yes46.7% · 2
No53.3% · 1.75

1X

Chance73.5%
Odds1.08

X2

Chance26.5%
Odds3

Toluca

Chance69%
Odds1.38

Draw

Chance19.1%
Odds5

Atlas

Chance11.9%
Odds8

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.38

TolucaAtlas
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall85%15%

Toluca vs Atlas: prediction & preview

Mexico · Liga MX · Sun, 15 Mar 2026

Toluca meet Atlas in the Mexico, Liga MX on 15 March 2026 at 02:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Toluca at 1.38. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 69% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.73, about 54.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.75.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Toluca vs Atlas FAQs

4 questions

What time is Toluca vs Atlas?

Kickoff is 02:00 on 15 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Toluca vs Atlas?

Toluca is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.38. The margin-adjusted share is about 69%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.73 and under 2.5 is 2.08.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Toluca vs Atlas prediction, H2H and stats