Toluca vs Atlas Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mexico · Liga MXSun, 13 Sept 2026

Toluca

Sun, 13 Sept 202600:05

5 : 2

Full time

Atlas

Pre-match win probability

66%Toluca21.3%Draw12.8%Atlas

Our prediction

Toluca

Toluca is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.45
Confidence66%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Toluca 66%
  • Draw 21.3%
  • Atlas 12.8%

Season statistics

Liga MX · highlighted side is stronger

TolucaAtlas

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals19.6% · 1.25.4% · 4.33
2.5 goals14.1% · 1.6711% · 2.15
3.5 goals9% · 2.6216.4% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes52%
No48%

Double chance

1X70.2%
X229.8%

Match result

Toluca1.45
Draw4.5
Atlas7.5

Both teams to score

Yes52% · 1.8
No48% · 1.95

1X

Chance70.2%
Odds1.11

X2

Chance29.8%
Odds2.62

Toluca

Chance66%
Odds1.45

Draw

Chance21.3%
Odds4.5

Atlas

Chance12.8%
Odds7.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Toluca at 1.45

TolucaAtlas
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall84%16%

Toluca vs Atlas: prediction & preview

Mexico · Liga MX · Sun, 13 Sept 2026

Toluca meet Atlas in the Mexico, Liga MX on 13 September 2026 at 00:05 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 5–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Toluca at 1.45. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 66% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Toluca vs Atlas FAQs

4 questions

What time is Toluca vs Atlas?

Kickoff is 00:05 on 13 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Toluca vs Atlas?

Toluca is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.45. The margin-adjusted share is about 66%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.67 and under 2.5 is 2.15.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Toluca vs Atlas prediction, H2H and stats