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Toluca vs CF Pachuca Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mexico · Liga MXMon, 4 May 2026

Toluca

WLLDL

Mon, 4 May 202602:15

0 : 1

Full time

CF Pachuca

LLWWW

Pre-match win probability

54.3%Toluca23.8%Draw21.9%CF Pachuca

Our prediction

Away · Toluca

Toluca vs CF Pachuca listed tip from the board.

Odds4.33
Confidence54.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Toluca 54.3%
  • Draw 23.8%
  • CF Pachuca 21.9%

Season statistics

Liga MX · highlighted side is stronger

TolucaCF Pachuca

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.7% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.3% · 1.225.9% · 4
2.5 goals13.6% · 1.7311.3% · 2.08
3.5 goals8.6% · 2.7516.8% · 1.4

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Double chance

1X61%
X239%

Match result

Toluca1.75
Draw4
CF Pachuca4.33

Both teams to score

Yes55.7% · 1.67
No44.3% · 2.1

1X

Chance61%
Odds1.22

X2

Chance39%
Odds1.91

Toluca

Chance54.3%
Odds1.75

Draw

Chance23.8%
Odds4

CF Pachuca

Chance21.9%
Odds4.33

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 4.33

TolucaCF Pachuca
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall71%29%

Toluca vs CF Pachuca: prediction & preview

Mexico · Liga MX · Mon, 4 May 2026

Toluca meet CF Pachuca in the Mexico, Liga MX on 4 May 2026 at 02:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Toluca at 1.75. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 54.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.73, about 54.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Toluca vs CF Pachuca FAQs

4 questions

What time is Toluca vs CF Pachuca?

Kickoff is 02:15 on 4 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Toluca vs CF Pachuca?

Toluca is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.75. The margin-adjusted share is about 54.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.73 and under 2.5 is 2.08.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Toluca vs CF Pachuca prediction, H2H and stats