Toluca vs Club Tijuana Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mexico · Liga MXSat, 14 Feb 2026

Toluca

DDDWW

Sat, 14 Feb 202604:05

1 : 0

Full time

Club Tijuana

DDDWD

Pre-match win probability

71.9%Toluca18.7%Draw9.4%Club Tijuana

Our prediction

1X · Toluca

Toluca vs Club Tijuana listed tip from the board.

Odds1.06
Confidence71.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Toluca 71.9%
  • Draw 18.7%
  • Club Tijuana 9.4%

Season statistics

Liga MX · highlighted side is stronger

TolucaClub Tijuana

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.1% · 1.021.4% · 17
1.5 goals20.7% · 1.144.3% · 5.5
2.5 goals15.7% · 1.59.4% · 2.5
3.5 goals10.7% · 2.214.6% · 1.62

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X76.2%
X223.8%

Match result

Toluca1.3
Draw5
Club Tijuana10

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.91
No50% · 1.91

1X

Chance76.2%
Odds1.06

X2

Chance23.8%
Odds3.4

Toluca

Chance71.9%
Odds1.3

Draw

Chance18.7%
Odds5

Club Tijuana

Chance9.4%
Odds10

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.06

TolucaClub Tijuana
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall88%12%

Toluca vs Club Tijuana: prediction & preview

Mexico · Liga MX · Sat, 14 Feb 2026

Toluca meet Club Tijuana in the Mexico, Liga MX on 14 February 2026 at 04:05 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Toluca at 1.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 71.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.5, about 62.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.91.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Toluca vs Club Tijuana FAQs

4 questions

What time is Toluca vs Club Tijuana?

Kickoff is 04:05 on 14 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Toluca vs Club Tijuana?

Toluca is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 71.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.5 and under 2.5 is 2.5.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Toluca vs Club Tijuana prediction, H2H and stats