Get Premium

Toluca vs Cruz Azul Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mexico · Liga MXSun, 8 Feb 2026

Toluca

DDWWW

Sun, 8 Feb 202600:00

1 : 1

Full time

Cruz Azul

WWWLL

Pre-match win probability

50.1%Toluca26.6%Draw23.3%Cruz Azul

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Toluca

Toluca vs Cruz Azul listed tip from the board.

Odds1.2
Confidence50.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Toluca 50.1%
  • Draw 26.6%
  • Cruz Azul 23.3%

Season statistics

Liga MX · highlighted side is stronger

TolucaCruz Azul

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.7% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.6% · 1.25.4% · 4.33
2.5 goals13.9% · 1.711.2% · 2.1
3.5 goals9% · 2.6216.4% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Double chance

1X61.4%
X238.6%

Match result

Toluca1.91
Draw3.6
Cruz Azul4.1

Both teams to score

Yes55.7% · 1.67
No44.3% · 2.1

1X

Chance61.4%
Odds1.2

X2

Chance38.6%
Odds1.91

Toluca

Chance50.1%
Odds1.91

Draw

Chance26.6%
Odds3.6

Cruz Azul

Chance23.3%
Odds4.1

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.2

TolucaCruz Azul
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall68%32%

Toluca vs Cruz Azul: prediction & preview

Mexico · Liga MX · Sun, 8 Feb 2026

Toluca meet Cruz Azul in the Mexico, Liga MX on 8 February 2026 at 00:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Toluca at 1.91. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 50.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Toluca vs Cruz Azul FAQs

4 questions

What time is Toluca vs Cruz Azul?

Kickoff is 00:00 on 8 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Toluca vs Cruz Azul?

Toluca is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.91. The margin-adjusted share is about 50.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.7 and under 2.5 is 2.1.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Toluca vs Cruz Azul prediction, H2H and stats