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Toluca vs FC Juarez Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mexico · Liga MXMon, 9 Mar 2026

Toluca

5th in table · 30 pts

WWWWD

Mon, 9 Mar 202600:00

3 : 1

Full time

FC Juarez

12th in table · 19 pts

WWDLL

Pre-match win probability

69.1%Toluca19.8%Draw11.1%FC Juarez

Our prediction

Home · Toluca

Toluca vs FC Juarez listed tip from the board.

Odds1.36
Confidence69.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Toluca 69.1%
  • Draw 19.8%
  • FC Juarez 11.1%

Season statistics

Liga MX · highlighted side is stronger

TolucaFC Juarez
Wins
85
Played
1717

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Toluca0W 0D 0L in last 0
    FC Juarez0W 0D 0L in last 0
      H2H
      Head to headToluca 5W · 3D · FC Juarez 1W · 3.1 goals a game
      • 31 AugToluca4 – 0FC Juarez
      • 30 NovToluca0 – 0FC Juarez
      • 27 NovFC Juarez1 – 2Toluca
      • 12 AugFC Juarez0 – 2Toluca
      • 23 FebFC Juarez0 – 4Toluca
      • 14 JulToluca3 – 2FC Juarez

      Betting markets

      Bookmaker prices with margin removed

      Goal lineOverUnder
      0.5 goals22.9% · 1.031.6% · 15
      1.5 goals20% · 1.185.2% · 4.5
      2.5 goals14.6% · 1.6210.5% · 2.25
      3.5 goals9.4% · 2.515.7% · 1.5

      Both teams to score

      Yes48%
      No52%

      Double chance

      1X73.5%
      X226.5%

      Match result

      Toluca1.36
      Draw4.75
      FC Juarez8.5

      Both teams to score

      Yes48% · 1.95
      No52% · 1.8

      1X

      Chance73.5%
      Odds1.08

      X2

      Chance26.5%
      Odds3

      Toluca

      Chance69.1%
      Odds1.36

      Draw

      Chance19.8%
      Odds4.75

      FC Juarez

      Chance11.1%
      Odds8.5

      No half-time prices stored.

      No corner prices stored.

      Model comparison

      Our pick: Home at 1.36

      TolucaFC Juarez
      Recent form50%50%
      Attack50%50%
      Defence50%50%
      Goals model50%50%
      Head-to-head72%28%
      Overall86%14%

      Toluca vs FC Juarez: prediction & preview

      Mexico · Liga MX · Mon, 9 Mar 2026

      Toluca meet FC Juarez in the Mexico, Liga MX on 9 March 2026 at 00:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–1.

      On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Toluca at 1.36. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 69.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

      The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

      Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

      Toluca vs FC Juarez FAQs

      4 questions

      What time is Toluca vs FC Juarez?

      Kickoff is 00:00 on 9 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

      Which outcome is shortest on Toluca vs FC Juarez?

      Toluca is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.36. The margin-adjusted share is about 69.1%.

      What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

      Over 2.5 is 1.62 and under 2.5 is 2.25.

      Do both teams score on this match?

      Both teams to score is priced at 1.95. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.