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Toluca vs Leon Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · Leagues CupThu, 3 Sept 2026

Toluca

WWWDW

Thu, 3 Sept 202602:00

2 : 0

Full time

Leon

DWWWW

Pre-match win probability

55.4%Toluca24.8%Draw19.8%Leon

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Toluca

Toluca vs Leon listed tip from the board.

Odds1.18
Confidence55.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Toluca 55.4%
  • Draw 24.8%
  • Leon 19.8%

Season statistics

Leagues Cup · highlighted side is stronger

TolucaLeon

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals20% · 1.185.2% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.6% · 1.6210.5% · 2.25
3.5 goals9.4% · 2.515.7% · 1.5

Both teams to score

Yes57.6%
No42.4%

Double chance

1X63.5%
X236.5%

Match result

Toluca1.7
Draw3.8
Leon4.75

Both teams to score

Yes57.6% · 1.62
No42.4% · 2.2

1X

Chance63.5%
Odds1.18

X2

Chance36.5%
Odds2.05

Toluca

Chance55.4%
Odds1.7

Draw

Chance24.8%
Odds3.8

Leon

Chance19.8%
Odds4.75

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.18

TolucaLeon
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall74%26%

Toluca vs Leon: prediction & preview

World · Leagues Cup · Thu, 3 Sept 2026

Toluca meet Leon in the World, Leagues Cup on 3 September 2026 at 02:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Toluca at 1.7. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 55.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Toluca vs Leon FAQs

4 questions

What time is Toluca vs Leon?

Kickoff is 02:00 on 3 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Toluca vs Leon?

Toluca is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.7. The margin-adjusted share is about 55.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.62 and under 2.5 is 2.25.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Toluca vs Leon prediction, H2H and stats