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Toluca vs Los Angeles FC Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · CONCACAF Champions LeagueThu, 7 May 2026

Toluca

LWWWL

Thu, 7 May 202602:30

4 : 0

Full time

Los Angeles FC

DWWDL

Pre-match win probability

63.2%Toluca21%Draw15.8%Los Angeles FC

Our prediction

Draw · Toluca

Toluca vs Los Angeles FC listed tip from the board.

Odds4.33
Confidence63.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Toluca 63.2%
  • Draw 21%
  • Los Angeles FC 15.8%

Season statistics

CONCACAF Champions League · highlighted side is stronger

TolucaLos Angeles FC

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.1% · 1.021.4% · 17
1.5 goals20.1% · 1.174.7% · 5
2.5 goals15.4% · 1.539.8% · 2.4
3.5 goals10.5% · 2.2515% · 1.57

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Double chance

1X68.7%
X231.3%

Match result

Toluca1.44
Draw4.33
Los Angeles FC5.75

Both teams to score

Yes55.7% · 1.67
No44.3% · 2.1

1X

Chance68.7%
Odds1.14

X2

Chance31.3%
Odds2.5

Toluca

Chance63.2%
Odds1.44

Draw

Chance21%
Odds4.33

Los Angeles FC

Chance15.8%
Odds5.75

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Draw at 4.33

TolucaLos Angeles FC
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall80%20%

Toluca vs Los Angeles FC: prediction & preview

World · CONCACAF Champions League · Thu, 7 May 2026

Toluca meet Los Angeles FC in the World, CONCACAF Champions League on 7 May 2026 at 02:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Toluca at 1.44. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 63.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.53, about 61.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Toluca vs Los Angeles FC FAQs

4 questions

What time is Toluca vs Los Angeles FC?

Kickoff is 02:30 on 7 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Toluca vs Los Angeles FC?

Toluca is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.44. The margin-adjusted share is about 63.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.53 and under 2.5 is 2.4.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Toluca vs Los Angeles FC prediction, H2H and stats