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Toluca vs Monterrey Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mexico · Liga MXSun, 7 Dec 2025

Toluca

Sun, 7 Dec 202502:00

3 : 2

Full time

Monterrey

Pre-match win probability

66.9%Toluca18.7%Draw14.4%Monterrey

Our prediction

Toluca

Toluca is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.4
Confidence66.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Toluca 66.9%
  • Draw 18.7%
  • Monterrey 14.4%

Season statistics

Liga MX · highlighted side is stronger

TolucaMonterrey

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Toluca0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Monterrey0W 0D 0L in last 0
      H2H
      Head to headToluca 5W · 1D · Monterrey 3W · 3.1 goals a game
      • 4 OctMonterrey2 – 1Toluca
      • 7 SeptToluca2 – 0Monterrey
      • 11 JanMonterrey0 – 1Toluca
      • 4 DecMonterrey1 – 0Toluca
      • 25 SeptToluca6 – 2Monterrey
      • 11 MayToluca2 – 1Monterrey

      Betting markets

      Bookmaker prices with margin removed

      Goal lineOverUnder
      0.5 goals23.2% · 1.021.2% · 19
      1.5 goals20.7% · 1.144.3% · 5.5
      2.5 goals15.8% · 1.59.5% · 2.5
      3.5 goals10.7% · 2.214.6% · 1.62

      Both teams to score

      Yes55.7%
      No44.3%

      Double chance

      1X71.2%
      X228.8%

      Match result

      Toluca1.4
      Draw5
      Monterrey6.5

      Both teams to score

      Yes55.7% · 1.67
      No44.3% · 2.1

      1X

      Chance71.2%
      Odds1.11

      X2

      Chance28.8%
      Odds2.75

      Toluca

      Chance66.9%
      Odds1.4

      Draw

      Chance18.7%
      Odds5

      Monterrey

      Chance14.4%
      Odds6.5

      No half-time prices stored.

      No corner prices stored.

      Model comparison

      Our pick: Toluca at 1.4

      TolucaMonterrey
      Recent form50%50%
      Attack50%50%
      Defence50%50%
      Goals model50%50%
      Head-to-head61%39%
      Overall82%18%

      Toluca vs Monterrey: prediction & preview

      Mexico · Liga MX · Sun, 7 Dec 2025

      Toluca meet Monterrey in the Mexico, Liga MX on 7 December 2025 at 02:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–2.

      On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Toluca at 1.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 66.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

      The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.5, about 62.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

      Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

      Toluca vs Monterrey FAQs

      4 questions

      What time is Toluca vs Monterrey?

      Kickoff is 02:00 on 7 December 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

      Which outcome is shortest on Toluca vs Monterrey?

      Toluca is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 66.9%.

      What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

      Over 2.5 is 1.5 and under 2.5 is 2.5.

      Do both teams score on this match?

      Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

      Toluca vs Monterrey prediction, H2H and stats