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Toluca vs Monterrey Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · Leagues CupMon, 7 Sept 2026

Toluca

Mon, 7 Sept 202602:15

2 : 0

Full time

Monterrey

Pre-match win probability

44.4%Toluca28.2%Draw27.4%Monterrey

Our prediction

Toluca

Toluca is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.1
Confidence44.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Toluca 44.4%
  • Draw 28.2%
  • Monterrey 27.4%

Season statistics

Leagues Cup · highlighted side is stronger

TolucaMonterrey

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.7% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals20% · 1.185.2% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.3% · 1.6510.7% · 2.2
3.5 goals9.4% · 2.515.7% · 1.5

Both teams to score

Yes60.9%
No39.1%

Double chance

1X56.7%
X243.3%

Match result

Toluca2.1
Draw3.3
Monterrey3.4

Both teams to score

Yes60.9% · 1.53
No39.1% · 2.38

1X

Chance56.7%
Odds1.3

X2

Chance43.3%
Odds1.7

Toluca

Chance44.4%
Odds2.1

Draw

Chance28.2%
Odds3.3

Monterrey

Chance27.4%
Odds3.4

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Toluca at 2.1

TolucaMonterrey
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall62%38%

Toluca vs Monterrey: prediction & preview

World · Leagues Cup · Mon, 7 Sept 2026

Toluca meet Monterrey in the World, Leagues Cup on 7 September 2026 at 02:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Toluca at 2.1. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 44.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.65, about 57.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.53.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Toluca vs Monterrey FAQs

4 questions

What time is Toluca vs Monterrey?

Kickoff is 02:15 on 7 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Toluca vs Monterrey?

Toluca is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.1. The margin-adjusted share is about 44.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.65 and under 2.5 is 2.2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.53. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Toluca vs Monterrey prediction, H2H and stats