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Toluca vs Pachuca Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mexico · Liga MXMon, 27 Oct 2025

Toluca

Mon, 27 Oct 202502:00

2 : 2

Full time

Pachuca

LDLLW

Pre-match win probability

59.4%Toluca21.9%Draw18.7%Pachuca

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Toluca

Toluca vs Pachuca listed tip from the board.

Odds1.14
Confidence59.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Toluca 59.4%
  • Draw 21.9%
  • Pachuca 18.7%

Season statistics

Liga MX · highlighted side is stronger

TolucaPachuca
Goals scored (avg)
–1.6
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–1.3

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Toluca0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Pachuca3W 4D 3L in last 10
    • 26 OctClub America1 – 2CF PachucaW
    • 22 OctCF Pachuca1 – 2Cruz AzulL
    • 19 OctMonterrey2 – 1CF PachucaL
    • 12 OctCF Pachuca3 – 3NecaxaD
    • 27 SeptSantos Laguna1 – 0CF PachucaL
    H2H
    Head to headToluca 4W · 2D · Pachuca 3W · 3.4 goals a game
    • 11 MayCF Pachuca2 – 0Toluca
    • 4 MayToluca0 – 1CF Pachuca
    • 23 MarCF Pachuca1 – 1Toluca
    • 30 MarToluca3 – 2CF Pachuca
    • 18 SeptCF Pachuca2 – 2Toluca
    • 31 MarCF Pachuca2 – 3Toluca

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.9% · 1.011.4% · 16
    1.5 goals21.2% · 1.094.4% · 5.25
    2.5 goals16.1% · 1.439.4% · 2.46
    3.5 goals10.4% · 2.2114.2% · 1.63

    Both teams to score

    Yes60.9%
    No39.1%

    Double chance

    1X67%
    X233%

    Match result

    Toluca1.57
    Draw4.25
    Pachuca4.99

    Both teams to score

    Yes60.9% · 1.52
    No39.1% · 2.37

    1X

    Chance67%
    Odds1.14

    X2

    Chance33%
    Odds2.31

    Toluca

    Chance59.4%
    Odds1.57

    Draw

    Chance21.9%
    Odds4.25

    Pachuca

    Chance18.7%
    Odds4.99

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.14

    TolucaPachuca
    Recent form7%93%
    Attack38%62%
    Defence37%63%
    Goals model38%62%
    Head-to-head56%44%
    Overall76%24%

    Trends

    Trend · Liga MX

    Pachuca scored 1.6 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Liga MX

    Pachuca conceded 1.3 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Liga MX

    Failed to score in 1 of those 10.

    Trend · Liga MX

    Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 10.

    Toluca vs Pachuca: prediction & preview

    Mexico · Liga MX · Mon, 27 Oct 2025

    Toluca meet Pachuca in the Mexico, Liga MX on 27 October 2025 at 02:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–2.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Toluca at 1.57. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 59.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.43, about 63.2% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.52.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Toluca vs Pachuca FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Toluca vs Pachuca?

    Kickoff is 02:00 on 27 October 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Toluca vs Pachuca?

    Toluca is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.57. The margin-adjusted share is about 59.4%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.43 and under 2.5 is 2.46.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.52. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.