Get Premium

Toluca vs Santos Laguna Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mexico · Liga MXMon, 21 Sept 2026

Toluca

Mon, 21 Sept 202601:00

2 : 3

Full time

Santos Laguna

Pre-match win probability

77.8%Toluca13.6%Draw8.6%Santos Laguna

Our prediction

Toluca

Toluca is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.22
Confidence77.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Toluca 77.8%
  • Draw 13.6%
  • Santos Laguna 8.6%

Season statistics

Liga MX · highlighted side is stronger

TolucaSantos Laguna

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.5% · 1.010.9% · 26
1.5 goals22% · 1.083% · 8
2.5 goals18.3% · 1.36.8% · 3.5
3.5 goals13.2% · 1.812.4% · 1.91

Both teams to score

Yes53.3%
No46.7%

Double chance

1X79.1%
X220.9%

Match result

Toluca1.22
Draw7
Santos Laguna11

Both teams to score

Yes53.3% · 1.75
No46.7% · 2

1X

Chance79.1%
Odds1.06

X2

Chance20.9%
Odds4

Toluca

Chance77.8%
Odds1.22

Draw

Chance13.6%
Odds7

Santos Laguna

Chance8.6%
Odds11

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Toluca at 1.22

TolucaSantos Laguna
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall90%10%

Toluca vs Santos Laguna: prediction & preview

Mexico · Liga MX · Mon, 21 Sept 2026

Toluca meet Santos Laguna in the Mexico, Liga MX on 21 September 2026 at 01:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Toluca at 1.22. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 77.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.3, about 72.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.75.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Toluca vs Santos Laguna FAQs

4 questions

What time is Toluca vs Santos Laguna?

Kickoff is 01:00 on 21 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Toluca vs Santos Laguna?

Toluca is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.22. The margin-adjusted share is about 77.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.3 and under 2.5 is 3.5.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.75. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Toluca vs Santos Laguna prediction, H2H and stats