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Toluca vs Tigres UANL Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mexico · Liga MXMon, 15 Dec 2025

Toluca

Mon, 15 Dec 202502:00

2 : 1

Full time

Tigres UANL

Pre-match win probability

63.6%Toluca22.7%Draw13.6%Tigres UANL

Our prediction

Toluca

Toluca is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.5
Confidence63.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Toluca 63.6%
  • Draw 22.7%
  • Tigres UANL 13.6%

Season statistics

Liga MX · highlighted side is stronger

TolucaTigres UANL

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.7% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals18.9% · 1.256.3% · 3.75
2.5 goals13.1% · 1.811.8% · 2
3.5 goals7.9% · 317.4% · 1.36

Both teams to score

Yes53.3%
No46.7%

Double chance

1X66.9%
X233.1%

Match result

Toluca1.5
Draw4.2
Tigres UANL7

Both teams to score

Yes53.3% · 1.75
No46.7% · 2

1X

Chance66.9%
Odds1.14

X2

Chance33.1%
Odds2.3

Toluca

Chance63.6%
Odds1.5

Draw

Chance22.7%
Odds4.2

Tigres UANL

Chance13.6%
Odds7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Toluca at 1.5

TolucaTigres UANL
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall82%18%

Toluca vs Tigres UANL: prediction & preview

Mexico · Liga MX · Mon, 15 Dec 2025

Toluca meet Tigres UANL in the Mexico, Liga MX on 15 December 2025 at 02:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Toluca at 1.5. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 63.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.75.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Toluca vs Tigres UANL FAQs

4 questions

What time is Toluca vs Tigres UANL?

Kickoff is 02:00 on 15 December 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Toluca vs Tigres UANL?

Toluca is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.5. The margin-adjusted share is about 63.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.8 and under 2.5 is 2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.75. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Toluca vs Tigres UANL prediction, H2H and stats