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Tondela vs Alverca Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Primeira LigaFri, 13 Feb 2026

Tondela

Fri, 13 Feb 202621:45

1 : 1

Full time

Alverca

Pre-match win probability

36.2%Tondela31.4%Draw32.4%Alverca

Our prediction

Tondela

Tondela is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.6
Confidence36.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Tondela 36.2%
  • Draw 31.4%
  • Alverca 32.4%

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · highlighted side is stronger

TondelaAlverca

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.2% · 1.113.6% · 6.5
1.5 goals15.7% · 1.59.4% · 2.5
2.5 goals9.4% · 2.515.7% · 1.5
3.5 goals4.7% · 520.1% · 1.17

Both teams to score

Yes45.3%
No54.7%

Double chance

1X52.4%
X247.6%

Match result

Tondela2.6
Draw3
Alverca2.9

Both teams to score

Yes45.3% · 2.05
No54.7% · 1.7

1X

Chance52.4%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance47.6%
Odds1.5

Tondela

Chance36.2%
Odds2.6

Draw

Chance31.4%
Odds3

Alverca

Chance32.4%
Odds2.9

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Tondela at 2.6

TondelaAlverca
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall53%47%

Tondela vs Alverca: prediction & preview

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Fri, 13 Feb 2026

Tondela meet Alverca in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 13 February 2026 at 21:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Tondela at 2.6. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 36.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.5, about 62.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.7.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Tondela vs Alverca FAQs

4 questions

What time is Tondela vs Alverca?

Kickoff is 21:45 on 13 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Tondela vs Alverca?

Tondela is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.6. The margin-adjusted share is about 36.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.5 and under 2.5 is 1.5.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.05. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.