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Tondela vs Alverca Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Taça de PortugalSun, 18 Oct 2026

Tondela

Sun, 18 Oct 202615:00

2 : 0

Full time

Alverca

Pre-match win probability

29%Tondela27.2%Draw43.8%Alverca

Our prediction

Alverca

Alverca is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.05
Confidence43.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Tondela 29%
  • Draw 27.2%
  • Alverca 43.8%

Season statistics

Taça de Portugal · highlighted side is stronger

TondelaAlverca

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals18.5% · 1.286.8% · 3.5
2.5 goals12.1% · 1.9512.8% · 1.85
3.5 goals7% · 3.418.2% · 1.3

Both teams to score

Yes53.6%
No46.4%

Double chance

1X44.3%
X255.7%

Match result

Tondela3.1
Draw3.3
Alverca2.05

Both teams to score

Yes53.6% · 1.73
No46.4% · 2

1X

Chance44.3%
Odds1.67

X2

Chance55.7%
Odds1.33

Tondela

Chance29%
Odds3.1

Draw

Chance27.2%
Odds3.3

Alverca

Chance43.8%
Odds2.05

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Alverca at 2.05

TondelaAlverca
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall40%60%

Tondela vs Alverca: prediction & preview

Portugal · Taça de Portugal · Sun, 18 Oct 2026

Tondela meet Alverca in the Portugal, Taça de Portugal on 18 October 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Alverca at 2.05. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 43.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Tondela vs Alverca FAQs

4 questions

What time is Tondela vs Alverca?

Kickoff is 15:00 on 18 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Tondela vs Alverca?

Alverca is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.05. The margin-adjusted share is about 43.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.95 and under 2.5 is 1.85.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.73. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Tondela vs Alverca prediction, H2H and stats