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Tondela vs Casa Pia Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Primeira LigaSun, 21 Dec 2025

Tondela

17th in table · 28 pts

LLWDL

Sun, 21 Dec 202519:00

1 : 2

Full time

Casa Pia

16th in table · 30 pts

LWLWW

Pre-match win probability

43.7%Tondela30.3%Draw26.1%Casa Pia

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Tondela

Tondela vs Casa Pia listed tip from the board.

Odds1.67
Confidence43.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Tondela 43.7%
  • Draw 30.3%
  • Casa Pia 26.1%

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · highlighted side is stronger

TondelaCasa Pia
Goals scored (avg)
–0.6
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–1.7
Wins
66
Played
3434

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Tondela0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Casa Pia3W 1D 6L in last 10
    • 24 OctEstrela0 – 2Casa PiaW
    • 18 OctAlpendorada0 – 1Casa PiaW
    • 10 OctCasa Pia0 – 1Santa ClaraL
    • 20 SeptEstoril1 – 2Casa PiaW
    • 12 SeptCasa Pia1 – 4FC PortoL
    H2H
    Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals21.3% · 1.13.3% · 7
    1.5 goals16.3% · 1.448.9% · 2.62
    2.5 goals9.8% · 2.415.3% · 1.53
    3.5 goals5.2% · 4.519.9% · 1.18

    Both teams to score

    Yes45.3%
    No54.7%

    Double chance

    1X56.6%
    X243.4%

    Match result

    Tondela2.15
    Draw3.1
    Casa Pia3.6

    Both teams to score

    Yes45.3% · 2.05
    No54.7% · 1.7

    1X

    Chance56.6%
    Odds1.28

    X2

    Chance43.4%
    Odds1.67

    Tondela

    Chance43.7%
    Odds2.15

    Draw

    Chance30.3%
    Odds3.1

    Casa Pia

    Chance26.1%
    Odds3.6

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.67

    TondelaCasa Pia
    Recent form9%91%
    Attack63%37%
    Defence43%57%
    Goals model63%37%
    Overall63%37%

    Trends

    Trend · Primeira Liga

    Casa Pia scored 0.6 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Primeira Liga

    Casa Pia conceded 1.7 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Primeira Liga

    Failed to score in 6 of those 10.

    Trend · Primeira Liga

    Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

    Tondela vs Casa Pia: prediction & preview

    Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sun, 21 Dec 2025

    Tondela meet Casa Pia in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 21 December 2025 at 19:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Tondela at 2.15. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 43.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.53, about 61.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.7.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Tondela vs Casa Pia FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Tondela vs Casa Pia?

    Kickoff is 19:00 on 21 December 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Tondela vs Casa Pia?

    Tondela is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.15. The margin-adjusted share is about 43.7%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 2.4 and under 2.5 is 1.53.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 2.05. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

    Tondela vs Casa Pia prediction, H2H and stats