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Toronto FC vs New York City FC Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

USA · Major League SoccerSun, 30 Aug 2026

Toronto FC

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Sun, 30 Aug 202600:30

1 : 1

Full time

New York City FC

DLLLL

Pre-match win probability

38.2%Toronto FC26.5%Draw35.3%New York City FC

Our prediction

Home · Toronto FC

Toronto FC vs New York City FC listed tip from the board.

Odds2.5
Confidence38.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Toronto FC 38.2%
  • Draw 26.5%
  • New York City FC 35.3%

Season statistics

Major League Soccer · highlighted side is stronger

Toronto FCNew York City FC

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals20.2% · 1.174.7% · 5
2.5 goals14.8% · 1.610.3% · 2.3
3.5 goals9.9% · 2.3815.5% · 1.53

Both teams to score

Yes62.5%
No37.5%

Double chance

1X51%
X249%

Match result

Toronto FC2.5
Draw3.6
New York City FC2.7

Both teams to score

Yes62.5% · 1.5
No37.5% · 2.5

1X

Chance51%
Odds1.44

X2

Chance49%
Odds1.5

Toronto FC

Chance38.2%
Odds2.5

Draw

Chance26.5%
Odds3.6

New York City FC

Chance35.3%
Odds2.7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 2.5

Toronto FCNew York City FC
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall52%48%

Toronto FC vs New York City FC: prediction & preview

USA · Major League Soccer · Sun, 30 Aug 2026

Toronto FC meet New York City FC in the USA, Major League Soccer on 30 August 2026 at 00:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Toronto FC at 2.5. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 38.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.6, about 59% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.5.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Toronto FC vs New York City FC FAQs

4 questions

What time is Toronto FC vs New York City FC?

Kickoff is 00:30 on 30 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Toronto FC vs New York City FC?

Toronto FC is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.5. The margin-adjusted share is about 38.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.6 and under 2.5 is 2.3.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Toronto FC vs New York City FC prediction, H2H and stats