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Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

USA · Major League SoccerThu, 23 Apr 2026

Toronto FC

DDWWD

Thu, 23 Apr 202600:30

3 : 3

Full time

Philadelphia Union

DWLLD

Pre-match win probability

36.1%Toronto FC27.8%Draw36.1%Philadelphia Union

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Toronto FC

Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union listed tip from the board.

Odds1.4
Confidence36.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Toronto FC 36.1%
  • Draw 27.8%
  • Philadelphia Union 36.1%

Season statistics

Major League Soccer · highlighted side is stronger

Toronto FCPhiladelphia Union

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.052.1% · 11
1.5 goals18.9% · 1.256.3% · 3.75
2.5 goals12.4% · 1.912.4% · 1.9
3.5 goals7.9% · 317.4% · 1.36

Both teams to score

Yes54.7%
No45.3%

Double chance

1X51.7%
X248.3%

Match result

Toronto FC2.62
Draw3.4
Philadelphia Union2.62

Both teams to score

Yes54.7% · 1.7
No45.3% · 2.05

1X

Chance51.7%
Odds1.4

X2

Chance48.3%
Odds1.5

Toronto FC

Chance36.1%
Odds2.62

Draw

Chance27.8%
Odds3.4

Philadelphia Union

Chance36.1%
Odds2.62

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.4

Toronto FCPhiladelphia Union
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall50%50%

Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union: prediction & preview

USA · Major League Soccer · Thu, 23 Apr 2026

Toronto FC meet Philadelphia Union in the USA, Major League Soccer on 23 April 2026 at 00:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Toronto FC at 2.62. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 36.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.9, about 50% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.7.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union FAQs

4 questions

What time is Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union?

Kickoff is 00:30 on 23 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union?

Toronto FC is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.62. The margin-adjusted share is about 36.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.9 and under 2.5 is 1.9.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.7. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union prediction, H2H and stats