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Torreense vs Penafiel Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Segunda LigaMon, 4 May 2026

Torreense

DWWLD

Mon, 4 May 202618:00

3 : 2

Full time

Penafiel

WLWWL

Pre-match win probability

44.4%Torreense28.7%Draw26.9%Penafiel

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Torreense

Torreense vs Penafiel listed tip from the board.

Odds1.25
Confidence44.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Torreense 44.4%
  • Draw 28.7%
  • Penafiel 26.9%

Season statistics

Segunda Liga · highlighted side is stronger

TorreensePenafiel

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals17.8% · 1.337.3% · 3.25
2.5 goals11.4% · 2.0813.7% · 1.73
3.5 goals6.3% · 3.7518.9% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X58.1%
X241.9%

Match result

Torreense2
Draw3.1
Penafiel3.3

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance58.1%
Odds1.25

X2

Chance41.9%
Odds1.73

Torreense

Chance44.4%
Odds2

Draw

Chance28.7%
Odds3.1

Penafiel

Chance26.9%
Odds3.3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.25

TorreensePenafiel
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall62%38%

Torreense vs Penafiel: prediction & preview

Portugal · Segunda Liga · Mon, 4 May 2026

Torreense meet Penafiel in the Portugal, Segunda Liga on 4 May 2026 at 18:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Torreense at 2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 44.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.73, about 54.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Torreense vs Penafiel FAQs

4 questions

What time is Torreense vs Penafiel?

Kickoff is 18:00 on 4 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Torreense vs Penafiel?

Torreense is the shortest 1X2 price at 2. The margin-adjusted share is about 44.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.08 and under 2.5 is 1.73.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Torreense vs Penafiel prediction, H2H and stats