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Toulouse vs Lorient Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

France · Ligue 1Sat, 21 Mar 2026

Toulouse

10th in table · 44 pts

WLDWD

Sat, 21 Mar 202617:00

1 : 0

Full time

Lorient

9th in table · 45 pts

DLWWD

Pre-match win probability

53.7%Toulouse28.5%Draw17.9%Lorient

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Toulouse

Toulouse vs Lorient listed tip from the board.

Odds1.17
Confidence53.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Toulouse 53.7%
  • Draw 28.5%
  • Lorient 17.9%

Season statistics

Ligue 1 · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

ToulouseLorient
Goals scored (avg)
1.50.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.61.2
Wins
1211
Played
3334

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Toulouse2W 4D 4L in last 10
  • 25 OctToulouse0 – 0Estac TroyesD
  • 16 OctLe Mans0 – 3ToulouseW
  • 10 OctMonaco2 – 2ToulouseD
  • 3 OctToulouse2 – 3PAUL
  • 19 SeptToulouse3 – 2Le HavreW
Lorient3W 3D 4L in last 10
  • 25 OctAngers0 – 0LorientD
  • 18 OctLorient1 – 0MonacoW
  • 10 OctLorient1 – 0Paris FCW
  • 19 SeptLe Mans2 – 1LorientL
  • 12 SeptLorient2 – 2ToulouseD
H2H
Head to headToulouse 3W · 5D · Lorient 1W · 2.7 goals a game
  • 12 SeptLorient2 – 2Toulouse
  • 9 NovLorient1 – 1Toulouse
  • 28 AprLorient1 – 2Toulouse
  • 3 DecToulouse1 – 1Lorient
  • 23 AprLorient0 – 1Toulouse
  • 21 AugToulouse2 – 2Lorient

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.9% · 1.337% · 3.4
2.5 goals11.4% · 2.113.8% · 1.73
3.5 goals6.4% · 3.7518.6% · 1.28

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X62%
X238%

Match result

Toulouse1.75
Draw3.3
Lorient5.25

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.91
No50% · 1.91

1X

Chance62%
Odds1.17

X2

Chance38%
Odds1.91

Toulouse

Chance53.7%
Odds1.75

Draw

Chance28.5%
Odds3.3

Lorient

Chance17.9%
Odds5.25

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.17

ToulouseLorient
Recent form45%55%
Attack63%37%
Defence44%56%
Goals model63%37%
Head-to-head61%39%
Overall75%25%

Trends

Trend · Ligue 1

Toulouse scored 1.5 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Ligue 1

Toulouse conceded 1.6 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Ligue 1

Failed to score in 3 of those 10.

Trend · Ligue 1

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 10.

Toulouse vs Lorient: prediction & preview

France · Ligue 1 · Sat, 21 Mar 2026

Toulouse meet Lorient in the France, Ligue 1 on 21 March 2026 at 17:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Toulouse at 1.75. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 53.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.73, about 54.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.91.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Toulouse vs Lorient FAQs

4 questions

What time is Toulouse vs Lorient?

Kickoff is 17:00 on 21 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Toulouse vs Lorient?

Toulouse is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.75. The margin-adjusted share is about 53.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.1 and under 2.5 is 1.73.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.