Toulouse vs Lyon Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

France · Ligue 1Sat, 22 Aug 2026

Toulouse

Sat, 22 Aug 202619:45

0 : 2

Full time

Lyon

Pre-match win probability

39.5%Toulouse27.9%Draw32.7%Lyon

Our prediction

Toulouse

Toulouse is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.4
Confidence39.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Toulouse 39.5%
  • Draw 27.9%
  • Lyon 32.7%

Season statistics

Ligue 1 · highlighted side is stronger

ToulouseLyon

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.8% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals18.7% · 1.286.4% · 3.75
2.5 goals12.5% · 1.9112.5% · 1.91
3.5 goals7.5% · 3.217.6% · 1.36

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Double chance

1X52.2%
X247.8%

Match result

Toulouse2.4
Draw3.4
Lyon2.9

Both teams to score

Yes55.7% · 1.67
No44.3% · 2.1

1X

Chance52.2%
Odds1.4

X2

Chance47.8%
Odds1.53

Toulouse

Chance39.5%
Odds2.4

Draw

Chance27.9%
Odds3.4

Lyon

Chance32.7%
Odds2.9

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Toulouse at 2.4

ToulouseLyon
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall55%45%

Toulouse vs Lyon: prediction & preview

France · Ligue 1 · Sat, 22 Aug 2026

Toulouse meet Lyon in the France, Ligue 1 on 22 August 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Toulouse at 2.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.91, about 50% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Toulouse vs Lyon FAQs

4 questions

What time is Toulouse vs Lyon?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 22 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Toulouse vs Lyon?

Toulouse is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 39.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.91 and under 2.5 is 1.91.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Toulouse vs Lyon prediction, H2H and stats