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Toulouse vs Marseille Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

France · Ligue 1Sat, 7 Mar 2026

Toulouse

DLDLL

Sat, 7 Mar 202621:05

0 : 1

Full time

Marseille

DWLDL

Pre-match win probability

30.5%Toulouse25.5%Draw44%Marseille

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Toulouse

Toulouse vs Marseille listed tip from the board.

Odds1.36
Confidence44%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Toulouse 30.5%
  • Draw 25.5%
  • Marseille 44%

Season statistics

Ligue 1 · highlighted side is stronger

ToulouseMarseille

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.5% · 1.225.5% · 4.33
2.5 goals13.8% · 1.7311.3% · 2.1
3.5 goals8.7% · 2.7516.5% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes57.6%
No42.4%

Double chance

1X44.9%
X255.1%

Match result

Toulouse3.1
Draw3.7
Marseille2.15

Both teams to score

Yes57.6% · 1.62
No42.4% · 2.2

1X

Chance44.9%
Odds1.67

X2

Chance55.1%
Odds1.36

Toulouse

Chance30.5%
Odds3.1

Draw

Chance25.5%
Odds3.7

Marseille

Chance44%
Odds2.15

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.36

ToulouseMarseille
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall41%59%

Toulouse vs Marseille: prediction & preview

France · Ligue 1 · Sat, 7 Mar 2026

Toulouse meet Marseille in the France, Ligue 1 on 7 March 2026 at 21:05 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Marseille at 2.15. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 44% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.73, about 54.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Toulouse vs Marseille FAQs

4 questions

What time is Toulouse vs Marseille?

Kickoff is 21:05 on 7 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Toulouse vs Marseille?

Marseille is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.15. The margin-adjusted share is about 44%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.73 and under 2.5 is 2.1.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.